By: Michael Selmi*

Introduction

The Civil Rights Act of 1991 (“CRA”) sought to change the employment discrimination landscape.  The CRA overturned or repudiated eight Supreme Court decisions that had narrowed the scope of Title VII in a way that Congress determined was inconsistent with the broad purpose of eradicating employment discrimination.[1]  Relatedly, the CRA transformed Title VII from an equitable relief statute—under which attorneys were most commonly compensated through attorney fee petitions—to a tort-like statute that allows for jury trials and damages for claims relating to intentional discrimination.  The CRA also marked the most comprehensive amendment to the original Civil Rights Act; although Title VII had been amended several times previously, the CRA was, by far, the most substantial amendment then or now.[2]

In this Article, I will explore the effect the CRA has had on employment discrimination litigation, primarily in the Supreme Court, but I will also glance toward litigation in the lower courts.  Based on a review of the Title VII cases and other related cases the Court has decided over the last twenty years,[3] it appears that the CRA had a meaningful restraining effect on the Supreme Court’s jurisprudence.  Since the CRA was passed, the Court has generally, though by no means always, been more supportive of plaintiffs’ Title VII claims than it had been in the years immediately preceding the CRA.  There is, however, an important caveat: in the most ideological cases, or those cases that might have the most dramatic effect on litigation, the Court has remained decidedly pro-defendant.  In other words, in the most meaningful cases, plaintiffs continue to encounter a hostile Supreme Court.  It also appears that the changes wrought by the CRA did not substantially improve outcomes for plaintiffs, though there was, especially in the early years, a dramatic increase in filings.  On the whole, plaintiffs have fared only marginally better on the merits, and employment discrimination cases continue to be more difficult to win than most other comparable civil cases.

This Article will proceed in two primary parts.  The first Part will explore the cases that preceded the CRA and introduce the positive political theory framework through which I want to analyze the Court’s response.  Positive political theory sees the relationship between the judicial, legislative, and executive branches as a political game designed to assert preferences; several scholars have assessed the origins of the CRA against the positive political theory framework.[4]  The second Part of the Article will go beyond those analyses to assess the Supreme Court’s response to see how the Court has adopted a strategically sophisticated approach that has diverged significantly from its interpretative path prior to the CRA.

I. The Making of the Civil Rights Act of 1991

The history behind the CRA is well known and I will provide only a cursory outline, some of which is informed by my experiences as a staff attorney with the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights at the time the Act was under consideration.  Although I played a rather minor monitoring role, the Lawyers’ Committee and my direct supervisor, Rick Seymour, were heavily involved in the drafting and negotiating of the legislation, and I later became enmeshed in some of the early litigation interpreting the CRA.

During the 1980s, the Supreme Court took a deeply conservative turn on issues of civil rights, particularly with respect to employment discrimination.  The Court repeatedly reached adverse results for plaintiffs, and even in cases in which the plaintiffs prevailed, the Court would often impose significant limitations on the employment discrimination doctrine.[5]  There were a substantial number of cases that limited the rights of plaintiffs, but three cases decided during the 1989 term were particularly important in prompting congressional action.

Probably the most significant departure from prior precedent came in the case of Patterson v. McLean Credit Union, in which the Court severely restricted the scope of § 1981.[6]  The statute had never been a major source of employment rights, but it was one of the original civil rights statutes enacted during Reconstruction, and it had a long history that the Supreme Court effectively ignored in holding that the statute only applied to contract formation, and not to acts of discrimination that occurred thereafter.[7]  Not only did the Court limit the statute’s reach, it did so aggressively and on its own initiative.  After the case was initially briefed and argued on the question of the statute’s scope, the Court, on its own motion, called for reargument on whether the statute should apply to private parties, an issue the Supreme Court had addressed in Runyon v. McCrary[8] just a decade earlier and that the parties had not raised.[9]  Ultimately, the Court backed away from that radical reinterpretation, in part because of an outpouring of briefs and critical public reaction,[10] but the Court’s gesture, and its limitation of the statutory scope, sent a signal that settled civil rights principles were up for reconsideration.

During the same term, the Court also rewrote the law with respect to class action settlements.  In Martin v. Wilks, a group of white firefighters sought to intervene in a case that had been resolved through a consent decree many years earlier.[11]  The white firefighters sought to challenge the remedial provisions in the decree, which they argued impermissibly limited their opportunities within the fire department; by a five-to-four vote, the Court permitted the intervention, even though the firefighters had the opportunity to contest the decree when it was originally entered.[12]  This meant that, despite the Court’s frequent admonitions regarding the importance of finality in litigation, it would often be difficult to determine when a settlement embodied in a consent decree could be assumed to be final and free from challenge.  It also meant that a new group of firefighters could challenge settlements that their predecessors had accepted.[13]

The Wilks case also offers important context for understanding the Court’s direction during this time period.  The consent decree at issue in Wilks provided for preferential treatment of African American firefighters as part of the remedies that had been incorporated into the decree.[14]  The case therefore became part of the affirmative action debate that was raging throughout much of the 1980s, and was seen as integral to the Reagan administration’s broader assault on civil rights and affirmative action.[15]  Even though the administration had been unsuccessful in many of the cases,[16] the Wilks case was seen as giving a green light to efforts to dismantle remedial orders.[17]  From this perspective, the Court’s decision was fully consistent with the position espoused by the Reagan administration—and to a lesser extent by the Bush administration—and the Democratic Congress became concerned with what the future might hold.[18]

While Wilks and Patterson reflected the Court’s hostility toward employment discrimination claims, the coup de grâce came with the Court’s decision in Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, a complicated case in which the Court rewrote part of the disparate impact law to place the burden of proof of the business-necessity defense squarely on the plaintiffs.[19]  Although the Court’s decision was seen as a significant change in the law, it had also become clear that a majority was developing on the Court in favor of eliminating the disparate impact theory altogether—a theory the Court had created in common law fashion in its landmark Griggs decision.[20]  Like Wilks, Wards Cove was also seen as indirectly connected with the affirmative action debate, given that the disparate impact theory had often, and mistakenly, been seen as prompting employers to adopt quotas as a way of avoiding litigation.[21]  The Wards Cove case was decided on the last day of the same term that produced the Wilks and Patterson decisions; shortly after the term ended, Congress began work on what was then dubbed the Civil Rights Act of 1990.[22]

While the three cases discussed above played the strongest role in motivating Congress to act, the Court issued a number of other controversial decisions on smaller issues, all of which made it more difficult for discrimination plaintiffs to obtain relief on their claims.  Some of the issues involved interest on judgments and awards of expert fees,[23] while others involved the timing of claims[24] or the extraterritorial application of Title VII.[25]  Together these cases represented a clear hostility to the interests of plaintiffs—a hostility that became particularly apparent when seen in connection with a series of nonemployment discrimination cases decided at the same time that reflected a broader hostility to civil rights claims, particularly in the area of affirmative action.[26]  When we turn to an assessment of the effects of the CRA, it is important to keep these smaller cases in mind, as in the 1980s no case seemed too small for the Court to side with employers.

Once the legislation began to move through Congress, several obstacles became apparent.  With President George H.W. Bush in office, the Democratically controlled Senate had to secure the votes necessary to overcome a presidential veto.  Many of the proposed provisions were uncontroversial, and there was also widespread agreement that Title VII plaintiffs should be afforded jury trials with damages available.[27]  At the same time, a group of Republican Senators were intent on making the bill part of a larger tort-reform effort and therefore sought to place caps on the damages provisions.[28]  Among some in Congress, there was a sense that capping the damages in Title VII cases would lead to damage caps in other federal statutes, although efforts to impose broader tort reform stalled shortly after the passage of the CRA.[29]

The most controversial part of the legislation was the provision designed to overturn the Wards Cove decision.  As I have argued elsewhere, the disparate impact theory has always rested uneasily within antidiscrimination law and it has likewise always been equated with affirmative action, an issue that was particularly divisive at the time.[30]  The Supreme Court, and politicians, had cautioned against aggressive interpretations of the disparate impact law for fear that employers would be forced to adopt quotas as a way to avoid lawsuits.[31]  This always seemed mostly a specious argument given that the disparate impact theory had been in existence since 1971, with reasonably aggressive interpretations in the 1970s, without any hint of broadscale quota-motivated hiring.[32]  In any event, the rhetoric proved powerful and the disparate impact provisions became hotly contested and produced a series of innovative legislative provisions.

Within the Senate, a debate broke out regarding whether Wards Cove was truly a departure from past precedent, eventually leading to dueling legislative memoranda that were written primarily by interest groups.[33]  At least in this particular instance, Justice Scalia’s theory of statutory interpretation was given full credence, as the memoranda were naked attempts to influence how the statute should be interpreted almost entirely independent of the legislators themselves, though not independent of their staffs, which had been deeply involved in the process.[34]  As a result, the Senate inserted a most peculiar provision into the statute forbidding courts from looking to the legislative history.[35]  The Wards Cove company also got its hands in the legislative cookie jar, as it was worried that the legislative fix might undo its ten-year victory, and the company eventually purchased its own statutory provision that exempted the Wards Cove case from the legislation.[36]

Despite all of the legislative maneuvering, the controversy refused to die, and President Bush vetoed the Civil Rights Act of 1990 due to the disparate impact provision.[37]  Congress failed in its override attempt but immediately set out to craft a new bill, although the prospects for passage remained dim until the Clarence Thomas hearings intervened.[38]  While Congress was debating what was then known as the Civil Rights Act of 1991, Anita Hill’s allegations of sexual harassment surfaced, which led to a public debate over the emerging sexual harassment doctrine.  Those hearings ultimately contributed to the passage of the CRA; indeed, I think it is fair to say that without the hearings, there may not have been a CRA.[39]  There were two reasons for this connection.  First, Missouri Senator John Danforth was both a Republican sponsor of the CRA and the shepherd for Clarence Thomas, who had worked for the Senator many years earlier in the Missouri Attorney General’s office.[40]  After the Anita Hill allegations arose, Senator Danforth pledged to ensure Thomas’s nomination and the passage of the CRA—a pledge he ultimately lived up to.[41]

Second, and sometimes lost in the story, was the realization during the hearings that victims of sexual harassment were often left without any meaningful remedy.  Not only did civil rights advocates have Justice Thomas to thank for the passage of the CRA, Judge Daniel Manion from the Seventh Circuit also chipped in with his own contribution.[42]  In a case involving clear and uncontested sexual harassment, Diane Swanson had been denied any relief since she did not lose her job and therefore did not suffer monetary loss.[43]  Not content to simply deny her relief, the Seventh Circuit went on to conclude that because she was not eligible for any relief, she had no claim and therefore was responsible for the defendant’s court costs, which were taken directly out of her paycheck.[44]

As noted at the outset, the CRA overturned parts or all of eight Supreme Court decisions, and it added important new remedial provisions to the statute.[45]  Equally important, the CRA sent a strong signal that Congress believed the Court was interpreting Title VII too narrowly, and there was language to this effect included in the statutory preface.[46]  The debate over the Act occurred in a very public forum over the course of two years and tainted the arrival of the Court’s newest member.  All of this is to suggest that it would have been difficult for the Supreme Court to ignore the message behind the CRA, but it was less clear whether the Act would have its intended effect.  Some of the provisions were effectively self-executing: the interest and attorney’s fees provisions allowed for little judicial interpretation, and the provision designed to overturn Martin v. Wilks also turned out to be a clear directive that produced no meaningful subsequent litigation.  But the real question was whether the Supreme Court would take Congress’s broader message seriously and interpret Title VII with an eye toward fulfilling the underlying purpose of the CRA rather than with an eye toward protecting employers.

The message sent by—as opposed to the substantive provisions of—the 1991 Act raises important questions about the relationship between Congress and the Court.  Here Congress was not only reversing specific decisions but was also seeking to change the Court’s interpretive direction.  Congress’s oversight powers, however, are limited; Congress could always pass new legislation to change or modify Supreme Court decisions, but short of new legislation the Court is largely free to ignore congressional directives.  Suggesting that the Court is free to ignore congressional directives assumes that the Court may have its own interests or preferences in mind in interpreting statutes.  Most scholars who concentrate on statutory interpretation assume that a court’s judicial duty is to interpret the statute consistent with congressional intent, with the primary area of contention being what Congress intended.[47]  Positive political theorists, on the other hand, treat courts as political actors who desire to implement their own preferences; these theorists typically see modes of statutory interpretation as rhetorical, rather than restraining.[48]  Numerous empirical scholars have also documented that courts frequently decide cases based on judges’ presumed ideological preferences.[49]  For a conservative court, when it comes to issues of employment discrimination, those preferences are most likely to include insulating employers from liability, and as we have just seen, that was how the pre-CRA Court proceeded.

Yet the Court was ultimately unsuccessful, and within the positive political theory framework, a court that wants to implement its preferences must avoid having its decisions overturned.  As a strategic matter, this can lead to some complex analysis, as the Supreme Court would be primarily concerned not with the Congress that enacted a statute but with the current Congress that would be responsible for passing any new legislation, and, similarly, with the President who might veto the legislation.[50]  Under this guise, the Court clearly played the game poorly in its discrimination decisions of the late 1980s, since those decisions all had a very short shelf life.  In light of the CRA’s repudiation of those decisions, we might expect the Supreme Court to change its game plan.  As we will see, that is precisely what it did—and it did so in a strategic way that has protected most of the decisions the Court seems to care most about.

II. The Post-1991 Act Cases

This Part will assess the Supreme Court’s behavior following the passage of the CRA in 1991 and will demonstrate that the Court has acted as positive political theory would predict.  Apparently chastened by the CRA rebuke, the Court has proceeded more wisely, ruling for plaintiffs in the majority of cases, often unanimously, while siding with the interests of employers in the cases that matter most.  During this time period, from 1993 to 2009, the Court’s composition has changed but it has remained a fundamentally conservative Court, one that arguably is more conservative than the Court that issued the decisions that led to the CRA.[51]  It is important, however, to highlight the Court’s process—many of the cases the Court has adjudicated over the last two decades have raised rather minor issues, and a surprising number of cases were simply necessary to reverse plainly incorrect lower court cases.  In these minor cases, the plaintiffs have uniformly prevailed.  But there were also a handful of controversial and important cases, and in those cases the defendants have prevailed, suggesting that the Court was still willing to implement its preferences, at the risk of reversal, in the cases of greatest significance.  Finally, there were cases addressing issues of intermediate importance in which the plaintiffs fared well, and it is in this handful of cases that the Court likely exercised the most judicial restraint.

Before discussing the cases, I must address several preliminary matters.  As noted previously, I have excluded disability cases from the analysis, primarily because the CRA was not aimed at the disability statute.  The Court unquestionably interpreted the ADA narrowly, and Congress recently passed legislation intended to modify the Court’s approach in several of the cases;[52] it will be interesting to see how the Court responds, and if the CRA offers any guidance to the Court’s likely reaction to the statutory repudiation.  I have also excluded most of the cases that involve arbitration agreements since the cases have primarily involved interpretation of a different statute—the Federal Arbitration Act[53]—or issues not directly related to discrimination claims.[54]  I have, however, included the several cases that directly involve discrimination issues.  Finally, I should note that classifying several of the cases has required subjective determinations as to who prevailed in a case, and also as to whom the doctrine is most likely to benefit.  I will highlight where I have made such judgments.

Immediately following the passage of the CRA, the Supreme Court appeared to be up to its old tricks.  The first two cases the Supreme Court addressed involved the retroactivity of the statute—specifically, whether the CRA applied to cases that were pending at the time of enactment.[55]  In both cases, the Court held that the CRA did not apply retroactively but instead only applied to controversies that arose after it was passed.[56]  This effectively delayed implementation for several years.  Notably, however, both decisions were written by Justice Stevens with Justice Blackmun as the lone dissenter, and there was substantial support for the Court’s decision both in the legislative history, which was purposefully left unresolved, and in the body of law that had developed regarding the retroactive application of legislation.[57]  The Court also decided the controversial St. Mary’s Honor Center v. Hicks case after the CRA was passed, but the case itself had little to do with the statute even though the Court’s decision made it more difficult for plaintiffs to prevail in certain cases.[58]  Yet if we view Hicks as part of the post-CRA history, the Court’s treatment is consistent with the pattern we observe in other cases—namely, that the most significant cases remain solidly in the defendants’ camp.

After Hicks, the Court heard a series of cases in which plaintiffs prevailed, often through unanimous decisions.  In Appendix A, I provide a list of the cases decided since the CRA was passed, noting the party that prevailed, the year the case was decided, and the Supreme Court vote breakdown.  The results are revealing: the Supreme Court decided forty-three cases in connection with Title VII, the ADEA, and § 1981, and in twenty-nine, or 67.4%, of those decisions found in favor of the plaintiffs.  The defendants prevailed in thirteen, or 30.2%, of the cases.[59]  Of the forty-three decisions, twenty were unanimous, 46.5% of the total, and, remarkably, eighteen of the unanimous decisions were in favor of plaintiffs.  Indeed, nearly two thirds (62.1%) of the decisions favoring plaintiffs were unanimous.[60]

Table 1: Employment Discrimination Cases Decided 1993–2010

Decision Plaintiff Defendant
Prevail 29 13
Unanimous 18 2
5–4 1 5

 

The high number of unanimous decisions in favor of plaintiffs offers a sharp contrast to the Court’s decisions rendered prior to the CRA.  During the period 1986–1989, there were five unanimous decisions and all but one had a significant concurring opinion supporting a more limited approach.[61]  Interestingly, none of the unanimous decisions were issued during 1989, when the Court was most active in limiting the scope of Title VII.[62]  In terms of substance, only one of the unanimous cases involved race discrimination, while three involved important issues relating to sex discrimination.  In contrast, the cases that most clearly prompted the CRA—Patterson, Wilks, and, to an extent, Wards Cove—all involved issues of race discrimination, as was true for most of the controversial affirmative action cases that arose during this time period.[63]

 

Table 2: Employment Discrimination Cases Decided 1987–1991

Decision Plaintiff Defendant
Prevail 10 12
Unanimous 5 0
5–4 1 3
6–3 2 4

 

The substantial rise in unanimous decisions not only represents a change in course for the Supreme Court but also highlights an important issue embedded in these cases—namely, just how conservative some of the lower courts have become.  Perhaps more accurately, the cases indicate how much more conservative some of the lower courts are compared to what is generally viewed as a very conservative Supreme Court.  While it is difficult to draw any conclusions based on this small sample, it is worth noting that of the eighteen unanimous decisions, eleven originated from the Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Circuits, with the Sixth leading the way with five unanimous reversals.  Only one of the unanimous decisions was an outright affirmance, and that was the mixed-motives case Desert Palace, Inc. v. Costa,[64] which arose out of the Ninth Circuit, often considered the most liberal appellate court.  Some of the cases involved appellate decisions that were clearly outliers and were essentially summarily reversed.  For example, the Fourth Circuit held that to establish a prima facie age discrimination claim, an individual had to demonstrate that she had been replaced by someone outside of the protected class, a holding that had no support in the statutory language and that the Supreme Court reversed in a seven-paragraph opinion.[65]  The same court also held that former employees could not bring Title VII claims, excising from the statute anyone who was no longer employed.[66]  This latter case had some resemblance to the Supreme Court’s decision in Patterson—as both cases involved the scope of the statute—and suggests that the Supreme Court may have taken seriously Congress’s directive to interpret the statutes consistently with their underlying purposes.

Perhaps the most interesting of the unanimous decisions reversing a hostile lower court was a case that involved racial epithets.  In Ash v. Tyson Foods, Inc., the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals had held that the use of “boy,” when directed at an African American man, was not evidence of discriminatory intent unless it was qualified by a racial term such as “black.”[67]  In a per curiam rebuke, the Supreme Court rejected the need for the racial qualifier, noting that whether the term was evidence of discrimination should be considered within its context and in conjunction with additional evidence the plaintiff produced.[68]  In the same case, the Court also rejected the appellate court’s standard—that pretext could only be established by comparison to the employer’s treatment of others to the extent the “disparity in qualifications is so apparent as virtually to jump off the page and slap you in the face.”[69]  Despite the Supreme Court’s sound rejection, the Eleventh Circuit recently reaffirmed a dismissal of the case, albeit under slightly different legal standards.[70]

Another noteworthy aspect of the unanimous cases is that most of the cases were of minor significance.  Several had to do with procedural issues that had not been resolved in the thirty-year history of Title VII, such as the requirements for verifying a complaint and the method for counting employees to meet the statutory coverage requirement.[71]  The Supreme Court decided only two cases during the Wards Cove era that presented similar interpretive questions,[72] and in these and other cases, the Court has recently taken a pragmatic rather than literal linguistic approach.  This was true in the Court’s definition of “employee” and its determination that the number of employees is not a jurisdictional issue, even though there were substantial arguments in support of the other side on both issues.[73]  In the earlier era, it seems quite likely that the Court would have ruled differently, or, more likely, allowed the lower court decisions to stand without review.[74]

Not all of the unanimous cases have turned on minor issues.  The Court held that Title VII prohibits same-sex harassment,[75] an issue that had caused considerable havoc in the lower courts; tossed aside any remnant of the pretext-plus issue;[76] and in two cases, crafted quite liberal principles of law relating to retaliation claims.[77]  Indeed, if there has been any major and surprising turn of events, it has been the Supreme Court’s protective approach to retaliation claims.  Plaintiffs have prevailed in all five retaliation claims the Court has considered, and the Court has adopted an expansive interpretation of the statute in each case.  In one of the cases, the Court had to identify a retaliation claim when the statute was arguably silent or at best ambiguous on the issue.[78]  These cases have helped spark a sharp rise in retaliation claims, but despite that increase, the Court has not sought to cut back on its broad interpretations, and it is difficult to see the Court as anything other than genuinely protective of retaliation claims.[79]

The plaintiff-friendly cases demonstrate that the Supreme Court has moved in a direction that has been more protective of victims of discrimination, but there is an important countertrend that offers a clear balance and also suggests that the Court may be playing a sophisticated political game.  In the most significant cases—including the sole employment case to touch on questions relating to affirmative action[80]—the defendants continue to prevail, and often by five-to-four majorities.  In these cases, the Court continues to impose its preferences, but now does so while also issuing a series of pro-plaintiff decisions, most of which likely do not implicate clear preferences of the Court.  There have been five decisions in favor of defendants by a five-to-four margin, and at least four of the cases are among the most significant decided since the CRA.[81]  As noted previously, the Supreme Court began the post-CRA era with a five-to-four decision in St. Mary’s Honor Center v. Hicks, in which it held that proof of pretext leads to a permissive inference of discrimination rather than the mandatory presumption advocated by the plaintiffs and adopted by the lower court.[82]  That decision also kept alive the damaging pretext-plus theory, though only by disingenuous lower court interpretations, which the Supreme Court abrogated nearly a decade later.[83]

More recently, the Supreme Court has issued several controversial decisions favoring defendants.  In Ricci v. DeStefano, the conservative majority of the Court invalidated an employer’s voluntary efforts to remedy the adverse impact of several promotion tests it had administered.[84]  Reverting to its Wards Cove days, the Court deemed the tests valid even though the tests had not been subject to any legal scrutiny and despite strong arguments that the tests could not be validated under existing law.[85]  The Ricci case has drawn considerable attention and harkens back to the assault on affirmative action from the 1980s, as the Court appeared to view the city’s remedial action as akin to instituting racial preferences for the minority firefighters.[86]  The following term, the Court also held that the mixed-motives theory, often seen as a boon to plaintiffs, was not available under the ADEA, even though the language at issue in the ADEA was quite similar to the language in Title VII that permits such claims.[87]  The difference in results between cases decided under Title VII and the ADEA may be a sign that statutory language can, in fact, restrain the Court.  Although the Court announced a liberal standard for Title VII claims based on language from the CRA, that language did not apply to the ADEA, leaving the Court free to implement its preference on age claims.

 

Table 3: Five-to-Four Decisions: 1993–2010

  • St. Mary’s Honor Center v. Hicks
  • Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co.
  • Kentucky Retirement Systems v. EEOC
  • Ricci v. DeStefano
  • Gross v. FBL Financial Services, Inc.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The other noteworthy five-to-four decision reveals that the Court can still overplay its hand.  In the only employment discrimination case to receive more attention than Ricci, the Supreme Court held that Lilly Ledbetter had waited too long to file her wage discrimination claim.[88]  There were, to be sure, some pragmatic aspects to the case that led the Court to side with the employer.  However, in doing so, the Court imposed a restrictive standard that would have likely foreclosed most wage discrimination claims since it can often take employees years to learn that pay raises were issued in a discriminatory fashion.  In her dissenting opinion, Justice Ginsburg called on Congress to act,[89] and it quickly did so.  Just over a year after the decision was issued, the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act (“Fair Pay Act”) became the first bill President Barack Obama signed into law, thus reversing the Supreme Court’s decision and likely expanding the statute of limitations beyond what had existed in most of the lower courts.[90]  The case, and the subsequent Fair Pay Act, also drew attention to the issue of pay equity in a way the Court likely did not intend, and there is little question that to the extent the Court was seeking to insulate employers from wage discrimination claims, its Ledbetter decision ultimately had the opposite effect.[91]  Nevertheless, the unintended consequences may prove more theoretical than real, as to date there has not been any significant increase in wage claims, and a bill to address pay equity issues has failed to gain traction.[92]

I should also note that rather than overplaying its hand, the Supreme Court may have misjudged future election results.  The Ledbetter decision was issued toward the end of the Bush presidency but before the Democrats took over the presidency and both houses of Congress.  It is certainly possible that had the decision been issued the following year, the Court may have sought a more moderate path, although its decision in the Ricci case may suggest otherwise.  There is, however, an important distinction between those two cases: Ledbetter was purely a matter of statutory interpretation and relatively easy to overturn, while Ricci represented an amalgam of interpretations of past Supreme Court precedent with overlays of constitutional considerations.  The Ricci case also involved race, whereas Ledbetter presented a more appealing sex discrimination claim that was ripe for congressional review.

In addition to the unanimous decisions for plaintiffs and the five-to-four decisions for defendants, there was a series of cases decided by various margins and also a set of cases in which it was difficult to determine what party would ultimately come out ahead.  These latter cases included three in which the Court provided a legal standard that was generally protective of plaintiff interests, and then carved out an affirmative defense to encourage employers to take precautionary measures.[93]  The Court first took this step in a pair of sexual harassment cases in which it crafted an affirmative defense out of thin air—but a defense that also seemed consistent with the purpose behind the CRA, which is to prevent rather than remedy harassment.[94]  What is perhaps most revealing is that although the language of the affirmative defense should make it difficult for employers to proceed, lower courts have frequently construed the defense more broadly so as to deny plaintiffs relief.[95]  In another case—this one unanimous—the Supreme Court resolved a long-standing split in the circuits by holding that the age discrimination statute permitted disparate impact claims, while creating a very loose standard for employers to justify their practices.[96]

Viewed in their entirety, the cases decided after 1991 reveal a decidedly different Supreme Court from the one that prompted passage of the CRA.  The current Court seems more moderate and less hostile to employment discrimination plaintiffs and remarkably protective of the right to be free from retaliation, but at the same time continues to implement its own preferences when it matters the most.  As a matter of positive political theory, the Court has responded not with timidity but in a strategically sophisticated fashion, and most of its decisions have remained in force.  In other words, the CRA provided a meaningful but not total restraint on the Court’s impulses.

III. The 1991 Act and the Lower Courts

Although the CRA appears to have restrained the Supreme Court, it has had significantly less force in the lower courts.  While I will not go into great detail to demonstrate the hostility to employment discrimination claims at the appellate level, I will highlight three different indicators.  One has already been discussed, and that is the number of cases in which the Supreme Court unanimously reversed lower courts.  In addition, appellate courts have created a number of legal doctrines that make it more difficult for plaintiffs to prove their cases.  Many of the doctrines are evidentiary in nature, but all of them make it more, rather than less, difficult for plaintiffs to prevail.  These doctrines include the creation of a fourth element of the prima facie case that requires plaintiffs (in some circuits) to prove that there is a similarly situated individual who was treated differently, with strict requirements governing who will satisfy the requirement; the stray remarks doctrine; and the same actor inference.[97]  Equally important, no evidentiary rule or legal doctrine has arisen that favors plaintiffs, with the possible exception of some of the emerging case law regarding mixed-motives claims.[98]

Perhaps the strongest indicator of the difficulty plaintiffs face in lower courts is revealed by the many studies that have documented low success rates both at trial and on appeal.  In her Symposium contribution, Professor Wendy Parker surveys the studies,[99] and I will only add a brief summary of my own.  The various studies are all consistent in their findings—more employment discrimination cases go to trial than do other kinds of cases, but plaintiffs typically have a lower success rate.  Plaintiffs succeed in somewhere between 35–40% of their cases tried before a jury, with a significantly lower success rate before a judge.[100]  Even though most cases are now tried before juries, this latter finding is important because judges handle the pre- and post-trial motions, and plaintiffs tend to have a low success rate in defending summary judgment motions.[101]  The data also demonstrate that employment discrimination plaintiffs fare worse than other civil plaintiffs both at trial and on appeal.[102]

It might be that the lower success rates reflect weaker cases, but it is not at all clear why this might be so.  There is no clear reason why employees would file weaker cases, particularly given the filtering process that requires individuals to first proceed through the federal EEOC or the state analogue.[103]  While there may be a higher number of pro se plaintiffs, the absolute number remains very small, and very few ever get to trial.[104]  The settlement values are also typically modest,[105] so these cases should not be particularly attractive to profit-motivated attorneys, though the availability of attorney’s fees might be an additional incentive.  Nevertheless, if the monetary value is not the inducement, the prospect of success surely should be, and again, unless the cases were worth significantly more, attorneys should have the same incentives to bring strong employment discrimination claims as they would to bring other civil cases.[106]  It also strikes me as problematic to assume it is the cases rather than the judges that drive the disparate results—it seems to me the burden should be on explaining what those differences might be rather than simply suggesting employment discrimination cases are less meritorious.  Indeed, the “blame the cases” mentality—which arises in most presentations of the data—mirrors the judicial hostility to employment discrimination cases.

Although it may come as a surprise to some that in the context of employment discrimination cases the lower courts now appear to be more conservative than the Supreme Court, this is less of a surprise within the positive political theory framework.  Congressional action is almost always aimed at the Supreme Court rather than lower courts, and as a result, Congress poses less of a threat to the lower courts.  Instead, the Supreme Court plays the primary restraining role on the appellate courts, and it may be that the chance of review and reversal is so low as to pose only a limited constraint.  At the same time, the prospect of congressional reversal also seems quite low, and it is not clear why one would pose a greater restraint than the other.  It may be that the difference lies in the assumptions behind the process: Supreme Court review is a normal part of the appellate process, whereas congressional action is an extraordinary and public process that typically is directed at cases of greater magnitude.

Whatever the reason, the problem for plaintiffs pursuing employment discrimination claims lies primarily in the lower courts rather than in the Supreme Court; this also makes the prospect for meaningful change more complicated since congressional action is less likely to reshape judicial approaches in the appellate courts.  The Supreme Court might be able to prompt change, but, outside of a handful of aberrational cases, that does not seem to be the Court’s interest.  I think there is little question that the current Supreme Court remains fundamentally conservative and is not likely to have a preference for greater plaintiff success in the lower courts.

Conclusion

The CRA not only reversed a series of decisions but also prompted the Supreme Court to change its interpretive position.  Plaintiffs have fared considerably better in the last two decades than they did in the period immediately preceding the passage of the CRA.  But the Supreme Court has clearly not entirely relented, as it continues to reach conservative results in the cases in which it appears to have the strongest preferences.  Close decisions continue to trend for defendants without much variation, whereas the decisions that side with plaintiffs are now most commonly unanimous, and often short, decisions.  Yet, as noted, the real obstacles for plaintiffs have simply moved to the appellate courts, in which plaintiffs now continually face hostile forums, ones that the Supreme Court is generally willing to accept and that avoid the glare of Congress.  So while the Supreme Court has become a more favorable forum for employment discrimination plaintiffs, conditions on the whole have not significantly improved.

Appendix A

Case Outcome Margin
Harris v. Forklift Sys., 510 U.S. 17 (1993) Pl. 9-0
McKennon v. Nashville Banner Publ’g Co., 513 U.S. 352 (1995) Pl. 9-0
O’Connor v. Consol. Coin Caterers Corp., 517 U.S. 308 (1996) Pl. 9-0
Walters v. Metro. Educ. Enters., Inc., 519 U.S. 202 (1997) Pl. 9-0
Robinson v. Shell Oil, 519 U.S. 337 (1997) Pl. 9-0
Oubre v. Entergy Operations, Inc., 522 U.S. 422 (1998) Pl. 6-3
Oncale v. Sundowner Offshore Servs., 523 U.S. 75 (1998) Pl. 9-0
Burlington Indus., Inc. v. Ellerth, 524 U.S. 742 (1998) Pl. 7-2
Faragher v. City of Boca Raton, 524 U.S. 775 (1998) Pl. 7-2
West v. Gibson, 527 U.S. 212 (1999) Pl. 5-4
Kolstad v. Am. Dental Ass’n, 527 U.S. 526 (1999) Pl. 9-0 & 5-4
Reeves v. Sanderson Plumbing Prods., Inc., 530 U.S. 133 (2000) Pl. 9-0
Pollard v. E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co., 532 U.S. 843 (2001) Pl. 9-0
EEOC v. Waffle House, Inc., 534 U.S. 279 (2002) Pl. 6-3
Edelman v. Lynchburg Coll., 535 U.S. 106 (2002) Pl. 9-0
Nat’l R.R. Passenger Corp. v. Morgan, 536 U.S. 101 (2002) Pl. 9-0 & 5-4
Clackamas Gastroenterology Assocs., P.C. v. Wells, 538 U.S. 440 (2002) Pl. 7-2
Desert Palace, Inc. v. Costa, 539 U.S. 90 (2003) Pl. 9-0
Jones v. R.R. Donnelley & Sons Co., 541 U.S. 369 (2004) Pl. 9-0
Smith v. City of Jackson, 544 U.S. 228 (2005) Pl. 9-0
Ash v. Tyson Foods, Inc., 546 U.S. 454 (2006) Pl. 9-0
Arbaugh v. Y&H Corp., 546 U.S. 500 (2006) Pl. 8-0
Burlington N. & Santa Fe Ry. Co. v. White, 548 U.S. 53 (2006) Pl. 9-0
Fed. Express Corp. v. Holowecki, 552 U.S. 389 (2008) Pl. 7-2
CBOCS W., Inc. v. Humphries, 553 U.S. 442 (2008) Pl. 7-2
Gomez-Perez v. Potter, 553 U.S. 474 (2008) Pl. 6-3
Meacham v. Knolls Atomic Power Lab., 554 U.S. 84 (2008) Pl. 9-0
Crawford v. Metro. Gov’t of Nashville & Davidson Cnty., 129 S. Ct. 846 (2009) Pl. 9-0
Lewis v. City of Chi., 130 S. Ct. 2191 (2010) Pl. 9-0
Sprint/United Mgmt. Co. v. Mendelsohn, 552 U.S. 379 (2008) None 9-0
Hazen Paper Co. v. Biggins, 507 U.S. 604 (1993) Def. 9-0
St. Mary’s Honor Ctr. v. Hicks, 509 U.S. 502 (1993) Def. 5-4
Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244 (1994) Def. 8-1
Rivers v. Roadway Express, Inc., 511 U.S. 298 (1994) Def. 8-1
Comm’r v. Schleier, 515 U.S. 323 (1995) Def. 6-3
Clark Cnty. Sch. Dist. v. Breeden, 532 U.S. 268 (2001) Def. 9-0
Gen. Dynamics Land Sys. v. Cline, 540 U.S. 581 (2004) Def. 6-3
Pa. State Police v. Suders, 542 U.S. 129 (2004) Def. 8-1
Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., 550 U.S. 618 (2007) Def. 5-4
Ky. Ret. Sys. v. EEOC, 554 U.S. 135 (2008) Def. 5-4
AT&T Corp. v. Hulteen, 129 S. Ct. 1962 (2009) Def. 7-2
Gross v. FBL Fin. Servs., Inc., 129 S. Ct. 2343 (2009) Def. 5-4
Ricci v. DeStefano, 129 S. Ct. 2658 (2009) Def. 5-4

Appendix B

Case Outcome Margin
Cal. Fed. Sav. & Loan Ass’n v. Guerra, 479 U.S. 272 (1987) Pl. 6-3
United States v. Paradise, 480 U.S. 149 (1987) Pl. 5-4
Johnson v. Transp. Agency, 480 U.S. 616 (1987) Pl. 6-3
St. Francis Coll. v. Al-Khazraj, 481 U.S. 604 (1987) Pl. 9-0
Goodman v. Lukens Steel Co., 482 U.S. 656 (1987) Def. 6-3
EEOC v. Commercial Office Prods. Co., 486 U.S. 107 (1988) Pl. 6-3
Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977 (1988) Pl. 9-0
Price Waterhouse v. Hopkins, 490 U.S. 228 (1989) Def. 6-3
Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642 (1989) Def. 5-4
Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755 (1989) Def. 5-4
Lorance v. AT&T Techs., Inc., 490 U.S. 900 (1989) Def. 5-3
Patterson v. McClean Credit Union, 491 U.S. 164 (1989) Def. 5-4
Indep. Fed’n of Flight Attendants v. Zipes, 491 U.S. 754 (1989) Def. 6-2
Pub. Emps. Ret. Sys. v. Betts, 492 U.S. 158 (1989) Def. 7-2
Univ. of Pa. v. EEOC, 493 U.S. 182 (1990) Pl. 9-0
W. Va. Hosps., Inc. v. Casey, 499 U.S. 83 (1991) Def. 6-3
Int’l Union v. Johnson Controls, Inc., 499 U.S. 187 (1991) Pl. 9-0
EEOC v. Arabian Am. Oil Co., 499 U.S. 244 (1991) Def. 6-3
Stevens v. Dep’t of Treasury, 500 U.S. 1 (1991) Pl. 8-1
Gilmer v. Interstate/Johnson Lane Corp., 500 U.S. 20 (1991) Def. 7-2
Astoria Fed. Sav. & Loan Ass’n v. Solimino, 501 U.S. 104 (1991) Pl. 9-0
Gregory v. Ashcroft, 501 U.S. 452 (1991) Def. 6-3

 

 


* Samuel Tyler Research Professor of Law, George Washington University Law School.  An earlier version of this Article was presented at a Symposium held at Wake Forest University School of Law, where I benefitted from the comments and conversations I had at the time.  Particular thanks to Professor Wendy Parker for the invitation to participate and for very helpful suggestions.

[1]. The statute overturned portions of or the entire decisions in eight cases.  See EEOC v. Arabian Am. Oil Co., 499 U.S. 244 (1991) (extraterritorial application of Title VII), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 109, 105 Stat. 1071, 1077; W. Va. Univ. Hosps., Inc. v. Casey, 499 U.S. 83 (1991) (expert witness fees), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 113; Patterson v. McLean Credit Union, 491 U.S. 164 (1989) (§ 1981), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 101(b); Lorance v. AT&T Techs., Inc., 490 U.S. 900 (1989) (seniority system), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 112; Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755 (1989) (white employees allowed to challenge affirmative action consent decrees), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 108; Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642 (1989) (disparate impact), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 105; Price Waterhouse v. Hopkins, 490 U.S. 228 (1989) (mixed motives), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 107(a); Library of Cong. v. Shaw, 478 U.S. 310 (1986) (government’s immunity from interest), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 114.

[2]. Prior to the passage of the CRA, Title VII had been amended twice.  In 1972, Title VII was amended to apply the statute to public employers (and to address other smaller issues), and in 1978, the Pregnancy Discrimination Act was passed to amend Title VII so that discrimination based on pregnancy would be considered part of sex discrimination.  See Roy L. Brooks et al., Civil Rights Litigation 402–03 (3d ed. 2005).

[3]. In this Article, I am concentrating on Title VII, the Age Discrimination in Employment Act (“ADEA”), and § 1981, while consciously excluding cases involving the Americans with Disabilities Act (“ADA”).  The ADA was passed in 1990 and the Supreme Court has generally interpreted it very narrowly—so narrowly, in fact, that Congress recently passed a statute to modify several of the decisions.  See ADA Amendments Act of 2008, Pub. L. No. 110-325, 122 Stat. 3553 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 42 U.S.C.).  The 1991 Act, however, was not aimed at the ADA, and the ADA also posed unusual interpretive issues that may have led the Court to effectively rewrite the statute.  Most of what proved to be controversial decisions were not ideologically charged, as several of the cases were decided by seven-to-two margins.  For a discussion of the ADA and the Court’s interpretive approach, see Michael Selmi, Interpreting the Americans with Disabilities Act: Why the Supreme Court Rewrote the Statute, and Why Congress Did Not Care, 76 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 522 (2008).  Obviously, the article’s title proved a bit too cute.

[4]. See, e.g., William N. Eskridge, Jr., Overriding Supreme Court Statutory Interpretation Decisions, 101 Yale L.J. 331, 385–90 (1991); William N. Eskridge, Jr., Reneging on History?  Playing the Court/Congress/President Civil Rights Game, 79 Calif. L. Rev. 613, 615–16 (1991).

[5]. A case that perhaps fits this mold best was Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, in which the Court held that subjective employment practices could be challenged under a disparate impact theory but also began to carve out a more rigorous proof structure for those claims.  Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977, 999–1000 (1988).  This project gained a critical fifth vote three years later in Wards Cove, 490 U.S. at 660.

[6]. Patterson, 491 U.S. at 164.

[7]. See id.

[8]. 427 U.S. 160, 168 (1976).

[9]. Patterson, 491 U.S. at 190–91 (Brennan, J., concurring in the judgment in part and dissenting in part).  For a discussion of the controversy surrounding Patterson, see Donald R. Livingston & Samuel A. Marcosson, The Court at the Crossroads: Runyon, Section 1981, and the Meaning of Precedent, 37 Emory L.J. 949 (1988).  To offer a flavor of what was at stake, the authors explain:

The NAACP Legal Defense Fund sought and obtained participation as amicus curiae by 47 of the 50 states, the American Bar Association, and a bipartisan group of 66 Senators and 119 Representatives.  It sought also the participation of the executive branch as amicus, but the administration decided not to participate.

Id. at 952 n.18; see also Al Kamen, Administration Won’t Argue Rights Case: Solicitor General Upsets Conservatives, Wash. Post, June 24, 1988, at A1.  “The Government had filed a brief on Patterson’s behalf on initial argument which had assumed the validity of Runyon’s interpretation of § 1981, and, given that premise, had supported Patterson’s position that racial harassment could give rise to a valid § 1981 claim against a private employer.”  Livingston & Marcosson, supra, at 952 n.18.

[10]. For a discussion of the case and the public reaction, see John Hope Franklin, The Civil Rights Act of 1866 Revisited, 41 Hastings L.J. 1135 (1990).

[11]. Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755, 758–59 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 108, 105 Stat. 1071, 1076–77.

[12]. Id. at 758, 761–63.

[13]. For a critical analysis of the case, see George M. Strickler, Jr., Martin v. Wilks, 64 Tul. L. Rev. 1557 (1990).

[14]. Wilks, 490 U.S. at 758.

[15]. For an excellent discussion of the efforts of the Reagan and Bush administrations to dismantle affirmative action and to challenge other civil rights orthodoxies, see Neal Devins, Reagan Redux: Civil Rights Under Bush, 68 Notre Dame L. Rev. 955 (1992).

[16]. On two previous occasions, the Reagan administration’s efforts to challenge existing decrees had been rebuffed.  See Local No. 93, Int’l Ass’n of Firefighters v. City of Cleveland, 478 U.S. 501, 530 (1986); Firefighters Local Union No. 1784 v. Stotts, 467 U.S. 561, 583 (1984).

[17]. A similar phenomenon was occurring with school desegregation decrees as the Supreme Court was loosening the standards for dismantling those decrees.  The most significant case was decided while the CRA was under consideration.  See Bd. of Educ. v. Dowell, 498 U.S. 237, 247 (1991) (establishing the standard for dissolving a desegregation decree); cf. Missouri v. Jenkins, 495 U.S. 33, 50 (1990) (rejecting the district court’s assertion of power to raise taxes to fund plan implementation).

[18]. Prior to the 1988 term, the Court had vacillated some.  For example, it approved the use of preferential hiring in a gender discrimination case, Johnson v. Transportation Agency, 480 U.S. 616 (1987), and upheld a remedial affirmative action order in United States v. Paradise, 480 U.S. 149 (1987), while invalidating a preferential layoff policy in Wygant v. Jackson Board of Education, 476 U.S. 267 (1986).

[19]. Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642, 660 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 105, 105 Stat. 1071, 1074.

[20]. The Griggs decision, recognizing what has come to be known as the disparate impact theory, was not tethered to any particular statutory language but was entirely a product of statutory interpretation.  See Griggs v. Duke Power Co., 401 U.S. 424, 433–34 (1971).  The notion that the Supreme Court was likely to eviscerate the disparate impact theory is based, in large part, on the author’s recollections of the negotiations surrounding the CRA.

[21]. The Court has explicitly made this connection.  See Wards Cove, 490 U.S. at 653; Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977, 992 (1988).  For a discussion regarding how affirmative action is frequently linked with disparate impact claims, see Mary C. Daly, Affirmative Action, Equal Access and the Supreme Court’s 1988 Term: The Rehnquist Court Takes a Sharp Turn to the Right, 18 Hofstra L. Rev. 1057, 1080–81 (1990).

[22]. See Susan F. Rasky, Rights Groups Work on Measure to Reverse Court’s Bias Rulings, N.Y. Times, Dec. 30, 1989, at 11.

[23]. See W. Va. Univ. Hosps., Inc. v. Casey, 499 U.S 83, 84 (1991) (restricting expert witness fees), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 113; Library of Cong. v. Shaw, 478 U.S. 310, 311 (1986), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 114.

[24]. Lorance v. AT&T Techs., Inc., 490 U.S. 900, 911–12 (1989) (holding that a seniority system could be challenged as discriminatory only when it was first adopted rather than when it became applicable), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 112.

[25]. EEOC v. Arabian Am. Oil Co., 499 U.S. 244, 246 (1991), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 109.

[26]. In the same term as Wilks, Patterson, and Wards Cove, the Supreme Court applied strict scrutiny to review and strike down a set-aside program in the city of Richmond, the former capital of the Confederacy.  See City of Richmond v. J.A. Croson Co., 488 U.S. 469, 493, 511 (1989).  That same term, in a rather extraordinary showing, the Court decided five other notable cases, all of which went against the plaintiffs.  See Pub. Emps. Ret. Sys. of Ohio v. Betts, 492 U.S. 158, 168–69 (1989) (holding that a disability plan adopted prior to passage of the ADEA could not be considered a subterfuge for discrimination); Indep. Fed’n of Flight Attendants v. Zipes, 491 U.S. 754, 766 (1989) (holding that no attorneys’ fees would be granted against losing intervenors); Jett v. Dallas Indep. Sch. Dist., 491 U.S. 701, 731 (1989) (holding that § 1983 provided the exclusive remedy for rights violations by state governmental actors); Will v. Mich. Dep’t of State Police, 491 U.S. 58, 71 (1989) (holding that the State is not a person under § 1983); DeShaney v. Winnebago Cnty. Dep’t of Soc. Servs., 489 U.S. 189, 202 (1989) (finding the State not liable under § 1983 for failing to protect a child from abuse).

[27]. M. Isabel Medina, A Matter of Fact: Hostile Environments and Summary Judgments, 8 S. Cal. Rev. L. & Women’s Stud. 311, 325 (1999).

[28]. In an op-ed defending the President’s signing of the bill, White House Counsel C. Boyden Gray made the connection explicit.  See C. Boyden Gray, Civil Rights: We Won, They Capitulated, Wash. Post, Nov. 14, 1991, at A23 (noting that the damages provisions in the CRA [set] “an important precedent for tort reform”).

[29]. 137 Cong. Rec. 30,693 (Nov. 7, 1991) (statement of Rep. Chester Atkins).

[30]. See Michael Selmi, Was the Disparate Impact Theory a Mistake?, 53 UCLA L. Rev. 701, 706, 763–67 (2006).

[31]. Ian Ayres & Peter Siegelman, The Q-Word as Red Herring: Why Disparate Impact Liability Does Not Induce Hiring Quotas, 74 Tex. L. Rev. 1487, 1489–90 (1996); see also Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977, 993 (1988); Albemarle Paper Co. v. Moody, 422 U.S. 405, 449 (1975).

[32]. For a strong refutation of the argument, see generally Ayres & Siegelman, supra note 31.

[33]. See Nathan Oman, Statutory Interpretation in Econotopia, 25 Pace L. Rev. 49, 68 (2004).

[34]. See Daniel A. Farber, Statutory Interpretation and Legislative Supremacy, 78 Geo. L.J. 281, 289 & n.39 (1989); Oman, supra note 33, at 68.

[35]. Section 105(b) of the CRA reads:

No statements other than the interpretive memorandum appearing at Vol. 137 Congressional Record S 15276 (daily ed. Oct. 25, 1991) shall be considered legislative history of, or relied upon in any way as legislative history in construing or applying, any provision of this Act that relates to Wards Cove—Business necessity/cumulation
/alternative business practice.

Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 105(b), 105 Stat. 1071, 1075 (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 1981 (2006)).

[36]. The very last provision of the Act, section 402(b), states: “Certain Disparate Impact Cases.—Notwithstanding any other provision of this Act, nothing in this Act shall apply to any disparate impact case for which a complaint was filed before March 1, 1975, and for which an initial decision was rendered after October 30, 1983.”  Id. § 402(b).  It was generally understood that the Wards Cove case was the only case that satisfied this definition.  See Stewart Kwoh, Congress Votes a Cure for All but the Victims, L.A. Times, Nov. 19, 1991, at B37 (noting that the company paid lobbyists more than $175,000 to secure the unusual provision).

[37]. See Steven A. Holmes, President Vetoes Bill on Job Rights; Showdown Is Set, N.Y. Times, Oct. 23, 1990, at A1.

[38]. Initial efforts to override the veto failed by one vote in the Senate.  See Neil A. Lewis, President’s Veto of Rights Measure Survives by 1 Vote, N.Y. Times, Oct. 25, 1990, at A1.  A new bill was later introduced with some modifications.

[39]. Other scholars have reached the same conclusion.  See, e.g., Jerome McCristal Culp, Jr., Neutrality, the Race Question, and the 1991 Civil Rights Act: The “Impossibility” of Permanent Reform, 45 Rutgers L. Rev. 965, 965 (1993) (giving primacy to the role of the Thomas hearings in the passage of the CRA); Devins, supra note 15, at 996 (emphasizing the importance of the Thomas hearings and of David Duke’s run for governor of Louisiana to the passage of the CRA).

[40]. See Linda P. Campbell, GOP’s Danforth Faces a Political Maelstrom: Senator Must Play 2 Roles with Bush, Chi. Trib., Sept. 1, 1991, § 1, at 19.

[41]. See Helen Dewar, White House, Senate Agree on Civil Rights Bill Revisions, Wash. Post, Oct. 25, 1991, at A1, A8.

[42]. See Swanson v. Elmhurst Chrysler Plymouth, Inc., 882 F.2d 1235, 1240 (7th Cir. 1989) (quoting Bohen v. City of E. Chi., 799 F.2d 1180, 1184 (7th Cir. 1986) (“If Congress wishes to amend the provisions of Title VII to provide a remedy of damages, it can do so.”)).

[43]. Id.

[44]. See Judith Lichtman, The Labor Force Needs the 1990 Civil Rights Act, Newsday (N.Y.), May 31, 1990, at 69.

[45]. See supra note 1.

[46]. Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 3(4), 105 Stat. 1071, 1071.

[47]. See, e.g., Jonathan T. Molot, The Rise and Fall of Textualism, 106 Colum. L. Rev. 1, 1 (2006); Jonathan R. Siegel, The Inexorable Radicalism of Textualism, 158 U. Pa. L. Rev. 117 (2009); Lawrence M. Solan, Private Language, Public Laws: The Central Role of Legislative Intent in Statutory Interpretation, 93 Geo. L.J. 427 (2005).

[48]. The literature on positive political theory is now extensive, but a good summary can be found in McNollgast, Politics and the Courts: A Positive Theory of Judicial Doctrine and the Rule of Law, 68 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1631 (1995).  For a recent literature review, see Michael Abramowicz & Emerson H. Tiller, Citation to Legislative History: Empirical Evidence on Positive Political and Contextual Theories of Judicial Decisionmaking, 38 J. Legal Stud. 419 (2009).

[49]. There is now an extensive empirical literature on judicial decisions, most of which reveals that judges’ political ideology has a statistically significant effect on their decisions.  It is generally the case that political ideology is not determinative in most cases but is clearly significant.  For several recent discussions of the literature, and some critiques, see Cass R. Sunstein et al., Are Judges Political? (2006); William M. Landes & Richard A. Posner, Rational Behavior: A Statistical Study, 1 J. Legal Analysis 775 (2009); and Theodore W. Ruger et al., The Supreme Court Forecasting Project: Legal and Political Science Approaches to Predicting Supreme Court Decisionmaking, 104 Colum. L. Rev. 1150 (2004).  Although the empirical approach has now migrated to law schools, much of the work is concentrated in political science.  For a work coauthored by a leading contributor in the field, see Jeffrey A. Segal & Harold J. Spaeth, The Supreme Court and the Attitudinal Model (1993).

[50]. See John A. Ferejohn & Barry R. Weingast, A Positive Theory of Statutory Interpretation, 12 Int’l Rev. L. & Econ. 263, 270 (1992) (noting that “the preference configuration of the current legislature is far more important for the results of statutory interpretation than is that of the enacting legislature”).

[51]. Justice Alito is more conservative than the Justice he replaced—Justice O’Connor—and this is particularly true on employment discrimination issues.  Chief Justice Roberts is also more conservative than was Chief Justice Rehnquist.  Perhaps most significantly, Justice Clarence Thomas, who joined the Court in 1991, is undeniably far more conservative than Justice Thurgood Marshall.  Justice Kennedy, who joined the Court in 1988, has also solidified his foothold in the conservative wing of the Court on many issues.  On the other side, Justice Ginsburg is more liberal than the Justice she replaced—Justice White—and when Justice Souter replaced Justice Brennan in 1990, he was more conservative but drifted consistently to the left thereafter.

[52]. ADA Amendments Act of 2008, Pub. L. No. 110-325, 122 Stat. 3553 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 42 U.S.C.).

[53]. 9 U.S.C. §§ 1–307 (2006).

[54]. For example, I have excluded Circuit City Stores, Inc. v. Adams, 532 U.S. 105, 109 (2001) (interpreting the Federal Arbitration Act’s exemption for employment of transportation workers), but included EEOC v. Waffle House, Inc., 534 U.S. 279, 282 (2002) (holding that an agreement between employer and employee to arbitrate employment-related disputes does not bar the EEOC from seeking victim-related damages) and Gilmer v. Interstate/Johnson Lane Corp., 500 U.S. 20, 23 (1991) (upholding compulsory arbitration agreement for claims arising under the ADEA).

[55]. See Rivers v. Roadway Express, Inc., 511 U.S. 298, 300 (1994) (holding that § 1981 does not apply retroactively); Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 247 (1994) (holding that amendments to Title VII do not apply retroactively).

[56]. Rivers, 511 U.S. at 300; Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 247.

[57]. These cases resonated personally with me since I had spent a significant amount of time arguing that the CRA did apply retroactively and was the lead appellate counsel on a case in which the argument was successful (a case in which I prevailed over one of my now colleagues).  See Estate of Reynolds v. Martin, 985 F.2d 470, 471 (9th Cir. 1993).

[58]. St. Mary’s Honor Ctr. v. Hicks, 509 U.S. 502, 510–11 (1993) (holding that proof of pretext may, but need not, lead to a finding of discrimination).  The effects of the Hicks case were muted by the introduction of jury trials as part of the CRA.  Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 102(c), 105 Stat. 1071, 1072.  The Court’s holding in Hicks has less relevance to a jury than to a judge, and has been particularly important at the summary judgment stage.

[59]. One of the cases was functionally a tie, as neither party’s position was adopted.  See Sprint/United Mgmt. Co. v. Mendelsohn, 552 U.S. 379, 387–88 (2008) (holding that so-called me-too evidence was subject to general evidence standards of relevancy rather than to any automatic rule).

[60]. See Table 1, infra.

[61]. For a breakdown of the decisions, see Table 2, infra.  The only decision without some qualification was St. Francis College v. Al-Khazraj, 481 US. 604, 613 (1987), which defined § 1981 to include national origin claims.  The other cases all had some limitations.  See Cal. Fed. Sav. & Loan Ass’n v. Guerra, 479 U.S. 272, 272–73 (1987) (holding, in an opinion by a fractured Court, that a leave policy that offered preferential treatment for women and exceeded the federal standards for pregnancy nondiscrimination was permissible); Bazemore v. Friday, 478 U.S. 385, 400, 407–10 (1986) (handing down a unanimous decision on the relevance of regression analysis but a split decision on the public-accommodations provision); Meritor Sav. Bank v. Vinson, 477 U.S. 57, 66, 72 (1986) (handing down a unanimous decision on the permissibility of the hostile-work-environment theory but withholding judgment on the scope of liability).

[62]. See Int’l Union v. Johnson Controls, Inc., 499 U.S. 187, 197, 212–13 (1991) (analyzing a fetal-protection policy as facially discriminatory with a concurring opinion suggesting that the possibility of third-party lawsuits might constitute adequate justification for the policy); Univ. of Pa. v. EEOC, 493 U.S. 182, 189 (1990) (permitting the EEOC to obtain information relating to a tenure decision).

[63]. Only one of the cases overturned or modified by the CRA substantively involved sex discrimination.  Lorance v. AT&T Techs., Inc., 490 U.S. 900 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 112, 105 Stat. 1071, 1078–79.

[64]. 539 U.S. 90 (2003) .

[65]. See O’Connor v. Consol. Coin Caterers Corp., 517 U.S. 308 (1996), rev’g 56 F.3d 542 (4th Cir. 1995).

[66]. See Robinson v. Shell Oil Co., 70 F.3d 325 (4th Cir. 1995) (en banc), rev’d, 519 U.S. 337 (1997).

[67]. See Ash v. Tyson Foods, Inc., 129 F. App’x 529, 533 (11th Cir. 2005), rev’d, 546 U.S. 454 (2006).

[68]. See Ash v. Tyson Foods, Inc., 546 U.S. 454, 456 (2006).

[69]. Id. at 456–57 (quoting Ash, 129 F. App’x at 533 (internal quotation marks omitted)).

[70]. See Ash v. Tyson Foods, Inc., 392 F. App’x 817 (11th Cir. 2010).

[71]. See Arbaugh v. Y&H Corp., 546 U.S. 500, 516 (2006) (determining that employee numerosity is not a jurisdictional issue); Edelman v. Lynchburg Coll., 535 U.S. 106 (2002) (upholding an EEOC regulation allowing for post-charge verification); Walters v. Metro. Educ. Enters., Inc., 519 U.S. 202, 212 (1997) (adopting the payroll method for counting employees).

[72]. See Stevens v. Dep’t of Treasury, 500 U.S. 1, 6 (1991) (requiring an employee to file a notice of intent to sue with the EEOC within 180 days of the discriminatory act and at least 30 days before filing suit); Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755, 764 (1989) (permitting challenges to consent decrees by employees not present at the time the decree was entered), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 108, 105 Stat. 1071, 1076–77.

[73]. See Arbaugh, 546 U.S. at 510–15.

[74]. If the Court were so inclined, it could have reached a different conclusion in Arbaugh, which makes its unanimity all the more surprising.  Given that Title VII only applies to employers with fifteen or more employees, permitting the statute to apply to a smaller employer, as appeared to be the case in Arbaugh, seems to be a stretch.  But the question the Court was likely asking itself is why this issue had not been raised earlier, and it probably relented in the face of a completed trial.  A similar pragmatic result was reached in a case involving whether an EEOC intake form can constitute a charge of discrimination.  See Fed. Express Corp. v. Holowecki, 552 U.S. 389, 402–03 (2008).  The Court affirmed an EEOC regulation permitting this scenario, given that a different conclusion likely would have simply meant that the person would have filed a charge much later to avoid penalizing the plaintiff for the way the EEOC had handled the case.  Id. at 406–07.

[75]. See Oncale v. Sundowner Offshore Servs., Inc., 523 U.S. 75, 82 (1998) (permitting same-sex harassment claims).

[76]. See Reeves v. Sanderson Plumbing Prods., Inc., 530 U.S. 133, 148–49 (2000) (abrogating pretext-plus decisions by the lower courts).

[77]. See Crawford v. Metro. Gov’t of Nashville & Davidson Cnty., 129 S. Ct. 846, 849 (2009) (holding that an individual who participates in an internal proceeding can proceed on a retaliation claim); Burlington N. & Santa Fe Ry. Co. v. White, 548 U.S. 53, 67–68 (2006) (establishing a standard for a retaliation claim when an employee would be discouraged from filing a claim).

[78]. In Gomez-Perez v. Potter, the Court read into the ADEA a retaliation provision in an opinion by Justice Alito that drew dissents from Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Scalia and Thomas.  Gomez-Perez v. Potter, 553 U.S. 474, 477–79 (2008).  This case can likewise be seen as a purely pragmatic decision, as there was little question that Congress would have inserted the standard retaliation provision into the statute since this appeared to be little more than a drafting error.  See also Crawford, 129 S. Ct. at 849; CBOCS W., Inc. v. Humphries, 553 U.S. 442, 445 (2008) (implying a retaliation cause of action in § 1981); Burlington N., 548 U.S. at 68.  The Burlington Northern case provides an example of just how protective the Court has been, as the plaintiff prevailed in the lower court on a stricter standard than the Supreme Court adopted.  For a discussion of the cases, see Michael Zimmer, A Pro-Employee Supreme Court?  The Retaliation Decisions, 60 S.C. L. Rev. 917, 917 n.2, 919–23 (2009).

[79]. Retaliation claims filed with the EEOC have increased from 21,613 in Fiscal Year 2000 to 33,613 in Fiscal Year 2009.  Charge Statistics, U.S. EEOC, http://eeoc.gov/eeoc/statistics/enforcement/charges.cfm (last visited Apr. 8, 2011).  This term the Court held that certain third-party retaliation claims could be pursued under Title VII; in that particular case, the employer appeared to retaliate against the employee’s fiancée.  See Thompson v. N. Am. Stainless, L.P., 131 S. Ct. 863 (2011).  I should note that I did not include Thompson in the statistical count, given that, as I write this, the term is not yet completed and including only some of the cases might appear misleading.  One might define Clark County School District v. Breeden, 532 U.S. 268 (2001), as a loss for plaintiffs on a retaliation claim, but that case seems to be more about pleading than about retaliation and was a unanimous per curiam decision.  Id. at 271, 274.

[80]. See Ricci v. DeStefano, 129 S. Ct. 2658, 2663–64 (2009).

[81]. See Table 3, infra.

[82]. St. Mary’s Honor Ctr. v. Hicks, 509 U.S. 502, 523–24 (1993).

[83]. See Reeves v. Sanderson Plumbing Prods., Inc., 530 U.S. 133, 148–49 (2000).

[84]. Ricci, 129 S. Ct. at 2664.

[85]. See id. at 2678 (“There is no genuine dispute that the examinations were job-related and consistent with business necessity”).  This statement ignored the numerous objections that had been raised about the test, including its limited utility for assessing skills relevant to higher-level positions and its use as a rank-order device.  Id. at 2707 n.16.  It is my own sense that the tests at issue in Ricci would have been very difficult to justify under existing validation guidelines.  The case has been the subject of extensive critical commentary.  See, e.g., Cheryl I. Harris & Kimberly West-Faulcon, Reading Ricci: Whitening Discrimination, Racing Test Fairness, 58 UCLA L. Rev. 73 (2010).

[86]. Ricci, 129 S. Ct. at 2677.  See generally Helen Norton, The Supreme Court’s Post-Racial Turn Towards a Zero-Sum Understanding of Equality, 52 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 197 (2010); Richard Primus, The Future of Disparate Impact, 108 Mich. L. Rev. 1341 (2010).

[87]. Gross v. FBL Fin. Servs., Inc., 129 S. Ct. 2343 (2009).

[88]. See Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., 550 U.S. 618, 621 (2007), superseded by statute, Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009, Pub. L. No. 111-2, 123 Stat. 5.

[89]. Id. at 661 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).

[90]. See Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009, Pub. L. No. 111-2, 123 Stat. 5 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 29 U.S.C. and 42 U.S.C.).  The Act amends Title VII’s filing requirement for compensation cases so that an employment practice occurs “when a discriminatory compensation decision or other practice is adopted, when an individual becomes subject to a discriminatory compensation decision or other practice, or when an individual is affected by application of a discriminatory compensation decision or other practice, including each time wages, benefits or other compensation is paid.”  42 U.S.C. § 2000e-5(e)(3)(A).  That standard is potentially broader than any standard that had existed in the lower courts.

[91]. Not only was the Act amended to overturn Ledbetter, but also another bill has been introduced to address pay equity issues.  See Paycheck Fairness Act, S. 182, 111th Cong. (2009); Paycheck Fairness Act, H.R. 12, 111th Cong. (2009).

[92]. The other five-to-four decision was a complicated age discrimination case in which the defendant prevailed, but it would be difficult to characterize the case as significantly disadvantaging older employees because the plan at issue was unusual and the particular case was enmeshed in peculiar facts.  See Ky. Ret. Sys. v. EEOC, 554 U.S. 135, 143–47 (2008).

[93]. See Kolstad v. Am. Dental Ass’n, 527 U.S. 526, 545–46 (1999) (adopting an affirmative defense in connection with a punitive damages claim); Burlington Indus., Inc. v. Ellerth, 524 U.S. 742, 765 (1998) (adopting an affirmative defense in sexual harassment cases); Faragher v. City of Boca Raton, 524 U.S. 775, 807–08 (1998) (same).

[94]. As best I have been able to determine, the affirmative defense had not previously been adopted by any court in a sexual harassment case, and it was not presented in any of the briefs filed in the case.  See generally Elizabeth M. Brama, Note, The Changing Burden of Employer Liability for Workplace Discrimination, 83 Minn. L. Rev. 1481 (1999) (discussing prior case law).  This gives credence to Justice Thomas’s claim in dissent that the defense was made up out of “whole cloth.”  See Burlington Indus., 524 U.S. at 771 (Thomas, J., dissenting).

[95]. An early assessment demonstrated that lower courts were interpreting the affirmative defense so that employers who acted appropriately were generally immunized from liability, even if the defense did not technically apply.  See David Sherwyn et al., Don’t Train Your Employees and Cancel Your “1-800” Harassment Hotline: An Empirical Examination and Correction of the Flaws in the Affirmative Defense to Sexual Harassment Charges, 69 Fordham L. Rev. 1265, 1266, 1294 (2001).

[96]. See Smith v. City of Jackson, 544 U.S. 228, 232, 239 (2005).  In Smith, the Supreme Court adopted a “reasonableness” standard based loosely on the portion of the Wards Cove decision that had been overruled by the CRA; much like in the Ricci case, the Court went on to uphold the City’s practice even though the reasonableness of the practice had not been briefed or argued.  Id. at 240–41.

[97]. These doctrines are all discussed in Dianne Avery et al., Employment Discrimination Law 124–32 (8th ed. 2010).

[98]. See, e.g., Rachid v. Jack in the Box, Inc., 376 F.3d 305, 312 (5th Cir. 2004) (adopting a modified standard for summary judgment purposes).  Although the mixed-motives theory has drawn considerable interest among academics, and can be a useful theory at the summary judgment stage, the limited remedies available under the theory render it less useful at trial.

[99]. See generally Wendy Parker, Juries, Race, and Gender: A Story of Today’s Inequality, 46 Wake Forest L. Rev. 185, 192–99 (2011).

[100]. Id. at 195–96.  In charting the win rates for plaintiffs from 1990–2001, Professors Laura Beth Nielson and Robert L. Nelson demonstrated a success rate that ranged from a low of 35.8% (1996) to a high of 43.6% (1992), with an average of 40%.  See Laura Beth Nielson & Robert L. Nelson, Rights Realized?: An Empirical Analysis of Employment Discrimination Litigation as a Claiming System, 2005 Wis. L. Rev. 663, 699 tbl.4.A.  The success rates in bench trials were typically one half that of those in cases tried to juries, with the notable exception of 2001, when plaintiffs prevailed in one third of their bench trials.  Id.

[101]. The difficulty plaintiffs encounter on summary judgment has been well and repeatedly documented.  For two recent analyses, see Elizabeth M. Schneider, The Changing Shape of Federal Civil Pretrial Practice: The Disparate Impact on Civil Rights and Employment Discrimination Cases, 158 U. Pa. L. Rev. 517 (2010), and Elizabeth Schneider, The Dangers of Summary Judgment: Gender and Federal Civil Litigation, 59 Rutgers L. Rev. 705 (2007).

[102]. See Kevin Clermont & Stewart J. Schwab, How Employment Discrimination Plaintiffs Fare in Federal Court, 1 J. Empirical L. Stud. 429, 455 fig.12 (2004).  The difference varies, but for both 1995 and 2001, plaintiffs had a 5% differential at trial, with similar differences on appeal.  Id. at 441 fig.7.

[103]. See Civil Rights Act of 1964, 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-5 (2006); Laura Beth Nielsen et al., Individual Justice or Collective Legal Mobilization?  Employment Discrimination Litigation in the Post Civil Rights United States, 7 J. Empirical L. Stud. 175, 177 (2010).

[104]. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 102, at 434 tbl.1, 440.

[105]. Nielsen et al., supra note 103, at 188.

[106]. I have commented on these issues previously.  See Michael Selmi, Why Are Employment Discrimination Cases So Difficult to Win?, 61 La. L. Rev. 555, 570 (2001).  For an interesting alternative explanation for appellate court hostility that focuses on judicial workload, see Lee Reeves, Pragmatism over Politics: Recent Trends in Lower Court Employment Discrimination Jurisprudence, 73 Mo. L. Rev. 481, 512–22 (2008).

Article in PDF Form

By: Melissa Hart*

Introduction

When Congress passed the 1991 Civil Rights Act (“1991 Act”), the new disparate impact provisions of the law were heralded as a victory for civil rights plaintiffs.[1]  After all, the statute was enacted in response to the Supreme Court’s cramped, “near-death”[2] interpretation of disparate impact law in Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio.[3]  The new law was a legislative sanctioning of the judicially created doctrine that facially neutral policies may still violate Title VII if their impact falls too heavily on a protected class and they cannot be justified as “business necessity.”[4]  This aspect of antidiscrimination law was viewed by many as the best chance for challenging the “built-in headwinds” that continue to keep equal employment opportunity out of reach.[5]

Twenty years later, it is not at all clear that the disparate impact provisions of the 1991 Act have delivered their promised victory.  Disparate impact claims are very rarely successful.[6]  Moreover, the Supreme Court’s 2009 decision in Ricci v. DeStefano,[7] while technically a disparate treatment case, may well have done as much to eviscerate disparate impact’s potential as Wards Cove did twenty years earlier.[8]  The decisions share many common themes: both have particularly unusual facts, both reveal the Court’s willingness to eschew procedural limitations to reach substantive questions not properly before the Court, and both show sharp divisions among the Justices.  Perhaps most importantly, both reveal deep skepticism on the part of many Justices about the underlying premise of disparate impact law: that racial inequalities persist because of continued systemic and institutional biases that can and should be addressed.

But while Wards Cove spoke directly to standards of proof for litigating disparate impact claims, Ricci’s consequences will be felt on the compliance side of the law.  These consequences may be especially dire because disparate impact was always most useful for its deterrence and compliance effects.  Even though plaintiffs have only rarely succeeded in bringing disparate impact claims, the powerful statement of equality inherent in such claims—embodied in the principle that employers should not use facially neutral practices that create a disparate impact unless there is a true business necessity to do so—is an essential message of antidiscrimination law.  And the possibility of disparate impact litigation prompts companies to evaluate their own practices and to make internal adjustments that make employment policies more fair.

This Article begins, in Part I, by considering the early potential of disparate impact law, and the Supreme Court’s response in Wards Cove.  Part II evaluates how much the Civil Rights Act of 1991 actually promised discrimination plaintiffs and examines how disparate impact litigation developed in subsequent years.  Part III considers the Court’s decision in Ricci and its consequences for the voluntary compliance efforts that disparate impact law has encouraged.

When the Supreme Court in 1971 first recognized disparate impact as a legal theory under Title VII, the Court explained that the “absence of discriminatory intent does not redeem employment procedures or testing mechanisms that operate as ‘built-in headwinds’ for minority groups and are unrelated to measuring job capability.”[9]  Forty years later, it is the built-in headwinds of a Supreme Court skeptical of—perhaps even hostile to—the goals of disparate impact theory that pose the greatest challenge to continued movement toward workplace equality.

I.  Giving Disparate Impact Life and Taking It Away

The disparate impact cause of action was first recognized by the Supreme Court as a necessary element of Title VII in order for that statute to truly reach all employment practices that operated to deny equal opportunity.  In Griggs v. Duke Power Co., the Supreme Court explained that Title VII “proscribes not only overt discrimination but also practices that are fair in form, but discriminatory in operation.  The touchstone is business necessity.  If an employment practice that operates to exclude Negroes cannot be shown to be related to job performance, the practice is prohibited.”[10]  The Griggs Court understood that intentional discrimination was not only hard to prove but was also only part of the problem in workplaces that had for so long unthinkingly imposed rules that disadvantaged women and people of color.[11]

During the 1970s and 1980s, disparate impact theory was used to challenge the kinds of “objective” employment criteria—primarily standardized test requirements—that had been disputed in Griggs.[12]  Importantly though, it also encouraged employer compliance efforts and even voluntary affirmative action programs.[13]  Lawyers and human resource professionals advised companies to carefully evaluate their job requirements and to “initiate and implement more creative selection and training procedures.”[14]  And many civil rights advocates viewed disparate impact theory as a driving force behind Title VII’s success as a “major instrument of social progress.”[15]

But disparate impact faced vocal criticism from the beginning.[16]  Courts and commentators worried that

acceptance of the idea that discrepancies between racial composition of the community and the plant or department alone make out a prima facie case of discrimination leads inevitably toward a narrowing of the Court’s options in fashioning a remedy.  If the problem is to be demonstrated by the mere fact of a discrepancy, then the solution logically must amount to an order to bring the employment statistics into line with the population statistics . . . .[17]

This fear, that employers would simply engage in quota hiring to avoid disparate impact liability, was a constant threat to disparate impact law’s development.

Five years after deciding Griggs, the Court concluded that the disparate impact theory was not available to plaintiffs bringing constitutional claims; instead, the Equal Protection Clause is violated only by intentionally discriminatory conduct.[18]  Indeed, the Washington v. Davis majority revealed considerable skepticism about disparate impact as a theory of discrimination, announcing that, “[a]s an initial matter, we have difficulty understanding how a law establishing a racially neutral qualification for employment is nevertheless racially discriminatory and denies ‘any person . . . equal protection of the laws’ simply because a greater proportion of Negroes fails to qualify than members of other racial or ethnic groups.”[19]  This rejection of disparate impact theory in constitutional analysis put disparate impact claims on shaky ground by creating a distinction between “true” discrimination and claims of disparate impact.[20]

The question of whether disparate impact effectively required employers to implement quotas to avoid liability was presented to the Supreme Court as early as 1977.[21]  The concern expressed by critics of impact theory was that, if plaintiffs can make out a prima facie case of disparate impact discrimination merely by showing that an employer’s hiring or promotion policies lead to statistical underrepresentation of a protected class, then defendants will have an incentive to avoid liability by simply ensuring that their workforce does not show that statistical underrepresentation.[22]  This is troubling, critics argue, because Title VII specifically provides that the statute shall not be interpreted to require any kind of proportional representation.[23]

In International Brotherhood of Teamsters v. United States, the Supreme Court dismissed the concern that reliance on statistical proof will lead to race-based quota hiring.[24]  In a disparate treatment case, statistics are probative because they are “often a telltale sign of purposeful discrimination.”[25]  In disparate impact litigation, statistical disparities push the employer to justify its business practices—to explain why the practice that is creating the disparity is actually necessary for the workplace.  Liability will not flow from statistical disparities alone, but from reliance on business practices that are unnecessary and that impose a disproportionate disadvantage on women or people of color.[26]

The tension between those who viewed disparate impact as the best hope for challenging continued workplace inequality and those who viewed impact theory as an illegal directive to implement hiring quotas came to a head in Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio.  In Wards Cove, the Supreme Court confronted a disparate impact challenge to the racially segregated world of salmon canneries in Alaska.[27]  At the two canneries that were the subject of the litigation, jobs were classified as “cannery” (unskilled) and “noncannery” (skilled).[28]  The cannery jobs were filled almost entirely by Filipinos and Alaska Natives who were either hired through one union or resided in villages near the canneries.[29]  The noncannery jobs, which paid more than the cannery positions, were filled predominantly by whites who were recruited in Washington and Oregon.[30]  Cannery employees lived in separate dormitories and ate in separate dining halls from the noncannery employees.[31] Justice Blackmun described these working conditions in his dissenting opinion:

The salmon industry as described by this record takes us back to a kind of overt and institutionalized discrimination we have not dealt with in years: a total residential and work environment organized on principles of racial stratification and segregation . . . .  This industry long has been characterized by a taste for discrimination of the old-fashioned sort: a preference for hiring nonwhites to fill its lowest level positions, on the condition that they stay there.[32]

In 1974, fifteen years before the case would reach the Supreme Court, a class of nonwhite cannery workers brought suit challenging a broad range of the companies’ employment policies: nepotism, separate hiring channels for cannery and noncannery positions, a rehire preference, a practice of not promoting from within, an English language requirement, no posting for noncannery positions, and a lack of objective hiring criteria.[33]  The plaintiffs contended that these practices “were responsible for the racial stratification of the work force and had denied them and other nonwhites employment as noncannery workers on the basis of race.”[34]  They claimed both disparate impact and disparate treatment violations of Title VII.[35]  The Wards Cove litigation had a tortuous procedural history during which the lower courts rejected the plaintiffs’ disparate treatment claims but permitted the impact claims.[36]  The dispute arrived at the Supreme Court on an interlocutory appeal, and the Court took the case as an opportunity to make a number of pronouncements about Title VII’s disparate impact standards.[37]

In a sharply divided opinion, the Court first criticized the lower court’s comparison of the percentage of cannery positions held by nonwhites with the percentage of noncannery positions held by nonwhites.[38]  The relevant comparison, the majority explained, is between the percentage of job holders and the percentage of qualified applicants for those jobs.[39]  In telling its story about what qualifications were relevant to that comparison, the Wards Cove majority focused exclusively on the noncannery jobs that required special skills, such as accountants, doctors, and other professionals.[40]  To compare those jobs to the unskilled positions held by cannery workers was to hold the employer responsible for differences between the two labor pools that had nothing to do with the employers’ policies and practices: “If the absence of minorities holding such skilled positions is due to a dearth of qualified nonwhite applicants (for reasons that are not the petitioners’ fault), petitioners’ selection methods or employment practices cannot be said to have had a ‘disparate impact’ on nonwhites.”[41]

The Court went on to hold that a plaintiff bringing a disparate impact challenge must identify with specificity what particular employment practice caused the complained-of disparate impact.[42]  Plaintiffs cannot make out a prima facie case of disparate impact simply by pointing to significant racial disparities in workforce composition.[43]  The Court concluded that “[t]o hold otherwise would result in employers being potentially liable for ‘the myriad of innocent causes that may lead to statistical imbalances in the composition of their work forces.’”[44]

Finally, and most controversially, the Court reversed twenty years of disparate impact law and concluded that an employer seeking to explain racial disparity with a “business necessity” will not have to demonstrate that the practice in question is “essential” or “indispensible.”[45]  Forcing the employer to meet this burden, the majority explained, imposes too onerous a standard, and “would result in a host of evils.”[46]  This “host of evils” is the possibility that employers will engage in quotas or hiring goals in order to avoid disparate impact liability.[47]  Instead, the Court held that an employer facing a charge of disparate impact discrimination would not have to “demonstrate” anything, in the sense of meeting a burden of proof.[48]  Instead of being an affirmative defense—which “business necessity” had been since Griggs—the majority concluded that the employer’s burden should be merely a burden of production.[49]  The disparate impact plaintiff would be required to demonstrate that the challenged practice was not a business necessity.[50]  Moreover, the Wards Cove majority significantly weakened the “business necessity” threshold, concluding that an employer’s challenged policy need only serve “the legitimate employment goals of the employer.”[51]

Wards Cove produced two impassioned dissents, one penned by Justice Blackmun[52] and the other by Justice Stevens.[53]  Blackmun’s dissent observed that the legal changes wrought by the decision “essentially immunize[d] . . . from attack” the range of practices that entrenched “racial stratification and segregation” in the salmon industry.[54]  Justice Stevens’s dissent accused the majority of “[t]urning a blind eye to the meaning and purpose of Title VII,” when it “perfunctorily reject[ed] a longstanding rule of law and underestimate[d] the probative value of evidence of a racially stratified work force.”[55]  One of the most striking things about the three opinions—the majority and the two dissents—is what radically different meaning the dissenting Justices took from the facts of the case than did the members of the five-Justice majority.  As Justice Blackmun concluded, “One wonders whether the majority still believes that race discrimination—or, more accurately, race discrimination against nonwhites—is a problem in our society, or even remembers that it ever was.”[56]

Justice Stevens’s dissent began by observing that this case had very unusual and complicated facts and should not have been used to rewrite the law.[57]  He went on to detail the ways in which the Wards Cove majority broke from the settled law in disparate impact cases.[58]  A substantial part of the dissent was occupied with challenging the majority’s view of how to think about the statistical evidence offered to the lower courts.[59]  Where the majority disregarded the segregation of the noncannery and cannery workforces as being irrelevant comparisons, Justice Stevens argued that in the “unique industry” of Alaskan salmon canneries, there are key elements that make the comparison of these two groups particularly appropriate.[60]  He presented a very different picture of the “skilled” noncannery positions filled almost entirely by white employees; instead of focusing on the doctors and accountants that occupy the majority, he pointed out that the “skills” required for many of those positions included only things like English literacy, typing, good health, and possession of a driver’s license.[61]  Moreover, Justice Stevens pointed out that one of the most important job qualifications for both cannery and noncannery employees in this industry was a willingness to be available for and to accept seasonal employment.[62]  That important variable makes the comparison between these two groups of employees arguably more relevant than any other comparison and certainly as relevant as a comparison of noncannery workers with the general labor force.

The fundamental difference between the stories told by the dissents and the story told by the majority is a crucial element of Wards Cove.  The majority saw the facts through a lens of skepticism about—even perhaps hostility to—the reach of disparate impact theory.  The absolute segregation of the salmon industry did not worry the Justices in the majority because they viewed that segregation as occurring naturally, unrelated to policy choices being made by the employer.  For the dissenting Justices, the “unsettling resemblance to aspects of a plantation economy”[63] was the major concern, and the lens through which the applicable legal standards were considered.  Wards Cove revealed how completely divergent views about disparate impact law mirrored similar debates about affirmative action.  In both contexts, one sees the substantial divide between those who view workplace discrimination against people of color as a continuing serious problem and those who believe that antidiscrimination laws have themselves become a source of unfair treatment of white workers.[64]

II.  The Rebirth of Disparate Impact

The Civil Rights Act of 1991 was an emphatic and hard-fought rejection of several 1989 Supreme Court decisions—most especially of Wards Cove’s changes to disparate impact law.[65]  The bill that passed and that was signed by President George H. W. Bush was heralded as a victory for plaintiffs in part because of the process that led to its passage.  The bill was first vetoed, and the subsequent year-long negotiations ended with what many called a “capitulation” by a Republican White House to the demands of civil rights leaders that disparate impact law remain a viable litigation theory.[66]  The core of the debate that shaped the relevant provisions of the legislation was about the relationship between disparate impact and quotas.

The 1991 codification of disparate impact explicitly returned the law, in certain respects, to its pre-Wards Cove status.[67]  In particular, section 703(k) of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, amended by section 105(a) of the 1991 Act, now specifies that “business necessity” is an affirmative defense, which the defendant carries the burden of demonstrating after the plaintiff has made out a prima facie case that an employer practice disproportionately impacts protected employees.[68]  “Business necessity,” which the Wards Cove majority had described as anything consistent with “legitimate employment goals,”[69] is defined in the new section 703(k) as “job related for the position in question and consistent with business necessity.”[70]  The 1991 Act also specifically returned the meaning of “alternative employment practice” to that which it had been under “the law as it existed on June 4, 1989.”[71]  As to the prima facie case, which the Supreme Court had said required identification of a specific employment practice,[72] Congress provided that a plaintiff typically does have to demonstrate a particular practice that causes a disparate impact, but the legislature offered an exception for circumstances in which the plaintiff can demonstrate “that the elements of a [defendant’s] decisionmaking process are not capable of separation for analysis.”[73]  In that circumstance, “the decisionmaking process may be analyzed as one employment practice.”[74]

Given the battle over disparate impact that led to the 1991 Civil Rights Act, it would be reasonable to imagine an increase in the number of disparate impact cases following the statute’s enactment.  In fact, however, there was no surge in the number of disparate impact suits filed after 1991.  And, as Michael Selmi’s 2006 empirical evaluation of disparate impact cases demonstrated, plaintiffs had significantly more success with disparate impact claims before 1991 than after.[75]

There are a number of possible explanations for the relatively small number of disparate impact claims in the federal courts.  Perhaps most significantly, the 1991 Act added compensatory and punitive damages to Title VII’s remedial arsenal, but only for claims of intentional discrimination.[76]  This change created substantial incentives for plaintiffs to frame their suits as disparate treatment rather than disparate impact claims.  Further, although the 1991 Act was quite explicit in rejecting Wards Cove, the statute still left considerable uncertainty about core interpretive questions—including what constitutes an “employment practice” subject to challenge and precisely what “business necessity” means—in disparate impact litigation.  And importantly, the number of disparate impact claims was lower by the 1990s because disparate impact theory was doing what it was in large part intended to do: encourage employers to develop internal practices that did not have a disparate impact on protected classes.  Indeed “[t]he disparate impact standard . . . triggered reconsideration of a wide range of promotion practices and other devices that failed to accurately measure and predict candidates’ job performance.”[77]  By 1991, twenty years after Griggs, employer practices that caused obvious disparate impact without any business justification had been eliminated in many workplaces through employers’ own internal compliance efforts.

Just as the promise of the 1991 Act might have been more rhetorical than substantive for potential disparate impact litigation, the perils that opponents saw lurking behind disparate impact theory did not emerge in the wake of the new law.  There is absolutely no evidence to suggest that the newly codified disparate impact theory led employers to adopt quotas or to lower their employment standards.  But the fear that potential disparate impact liability might lead employers to adopt hiring quotas—and more generally the anxiety that antidiscrimination laws were themselves prompting discrimination against white employees—has not diminished.

III.  Ricci: Is Disparate Impact Dead Again?

Twenty years and twenty days after announcing its ruling in Wards Cove, the Supreme Court issued another sharply divided set of opinions in Ricci v. DeStefano.[78]  Ricci was a disparate treatment case, but the allegation of disparate treatment stemmed from the City of New Haven’s effort to avoid disparate impact liability.[79]  A five-Justice majority concluded that the City had engaged in intentional discrimination against white firefighters when it declined to certify the results of a promotion test that had a disparate impact on minority firefighters.[80]

Ricci shared a number of similarities with the Wards Cove decision.  One of the most immediately notable is that in both cases the Court’s majority ignored basic procedural norms that are supposed to constrain the Supreme Court in order to reach its preferred outcome.  In Wards Cove, the Court significantly altered disparate impact law in a case that came to it on interlocutory review, and the dissent was sharply critical of what it saw as procedural impropriety.[81]  Similarly in Ricci, the dissenting Justices observed that the majority was departing from the Court’s usual procedural rules by not simply reversing the summary judgment granted and upheld below, but actually reviewing the record and granting summary judgment for the other side.[82]  The willingness to ignore procedural norms gives both opinions an aura of “judicial activism” that heightens the sense that both are part of a political debate in which statutory interpretation is just one argument.

Wards Cove and Ricci are also notable for their complex facts, and for the widely different view of the facts offered by the majority and the dissent in each case.  The highly contested facts in Ricci made especially surprising the majority’s decision to grant summary judgment based on the record as it stood at the Supreme Court.[83]

In 2003, the City of New Haven administered a written test as part of the process for selecting promotion-eligible employees for officer positions in the fire department.[84]  The test was developed to account for sixty percent of the promotion process because the City’s decades-old contract with the firefighter’s union provided that promotion would be based sixty percent on a written exam and forty percent on an oral exam.[85]  The City charter provided that, after the exam was administered, the Civil Service Board would rank applicants, creating a list from which vacancies would be filled.[86]  Candidates had to be chosen from among the top three scorers on the list, and the list would remain valid for two years.[87]  Seventy-seven candidates completed the 2003 lieutenant examination and forty-one candidates completed the examination for promotion to captain.[88]  The results on both examinations showed significant racial disparities for both African-American and Latino test takers sufficient to make out a prima facie case of disparate impact under Title VII.[89]

As soon as the exam results were made publicly available, “[s]ome firefighters argued the tests should be discarded because the results showed the test to be discriminatory.  They threatened a discrimination lawsuit if the City made promotions based on the tests.  Other firefighters said the exams were neutral and fair.  And they, in turn, threatened a discrimination lawsuit” if the City did not certify the results.[90]  At this point, the City found itself between the proverbial rock and a hard place.

In January 2004, the Civil Service Board met to decide whether to certify the results of the exam.[91]  At the beginning of the meeting, the City’s director of Human Resources informed the board that she believed the exam created a “significant disparate impact” on test takers.[92]  Over the course of five meetings, the Civil Service Board heard testimony from the person who had developed the test for the City, additional firefighters, New Haven community members, other professional test developers, individuals employed in fire departments in other cities, the City’s legal counsel, and a psychologist from Boston College, among others.[93]  At the close of these meetings, the Civil Service Board voted on whether to certify the results.  With one member recused, the remaining four board members were deadlocked, two to two, on whether to certify; consequently, the list was not certified.[94]

Following the decision not to certify the results, seventeen white firefighters and one Hispanic firefighter filed suit, alleging, among other claims, that the decision not to certify was an act of intentional race discrimination.[95]  In district court, the City successfully argued that the Civil Service Board’s good-faith belief that certifying the exam would expose it to liability for disparate impact discrimination shielded it from liability for disparate treatment, and was granted summary judgment.[96]  The Supreme Court rejected this argument, concluding that “there is no genuine dispute that the examinations were job-related and consistent with business necessity,”[97] and granted summary judgment for the firefighters.[98]  For the majority, the story—the undisputed and indisputable story—of what happened in New Haven was this:

The record in this litigation documents a process that, at the outset, had the potential to produce a testing procedure that was true to the promise of Title VII: No individual should face workplace discrimination based on race.  Respondents thought about promotion qualifications and relevant experience in neutral ways.  They were careful to ensure broad racial participation in the design of the test itself and its administration.  As we have discussed at length, the process was open and fair.  The problem, of course, is that after the tests were completed, the raw racial results became the predominant rationale for the City’s refusal to certify the results.[99]

This understanding of what happened in New Haven rests on a number of much contested assumptions about the neutrality and fairness of the City’s test and the process used to design it.  The majority simply disregarded the catalog of contested factual questions.  With these blinders on, it could perceive the statistically significant disparate impact of the test as legally irrelevant.

The Ricci dissent told a very different story.  The dissent described a long history of race discrimination in the New Haven Fire Department and pointed to portions of the record that suggested that the challenged test was significantly more problematic than the majority’s recitation of the facts suggested.[100]  While the majority lauded the test-development process, the dissent pointed out that there was no determination before hiring the test writer of what kind of test would best evaluate candidates for promotion.[101]  In fact, the City didn’t consider any other testing mechanism; didn’t question its use of a decades-old decision to weight the written exam sixty percent and the oral exam forty percent; and didn’t vet the written exam with any experienced local firefighters.[102]

Indeed, only after the test was administered, and the significant adverse impact became apparent, did the City seem to realize the range of flaws in the test and refer the question to the Civil Service Board.[103]  At this point, too, the dissenting opinion demonstrates that a very different story can be read in the record than the majority’s view that only statistical racial disparities mattered in the Civil Service Board’s process; the record included evidence that Civil Service Board members understood that “their principal task was to decide whether they were confident about the reliability of the exams: Had the exams fairly measured the qualities of a successful fire officer despite their disparate results?  Might an alternative examination process have identified the most qualified candidates without creating such significant racial imbalances?”[104]

The dramatically different readings of what actually happened in New Haven presented in the Ricci opinions are a result of the widely divergent views held by the majority and the dissenting Justices about the problem of discrimination.[105]  Why did the original test end up with such disparate results?  The Supreme Court’s majority believed that it was because white people do better on objective tests that evaluate merit.[106]  The Ricci majority’s description of the facts was replete with quotes accounting for this discrepancy: “usually whites outperform some of the minorities on testing”;[107] “[n]ormally, whites outperform ethnic minorities on the majority of standardized testing procedures”;[108] and “regardless of what kind of written test we give in this country . . . we can just about predict how many people will pass who are members of under-represented groups.  And your data are not that inconsistent with what predictions would say were the case.”[109]  Of course, this was all testimony that was in fact presented to the Civil Service Board.  But it is just a very small sample of the testimony offered during the course of the five meetings the Civil Service Board held about these tests.  There was also a great deal of evidence—the evidence credited by the dissenting Justices—that showed New Haven’s test was not developed with care and other tests would more accurately measure qualifications and would do so with much less racial disparity.[110]

The conviction that whites just do better is central to the majority’s conclusion that the decision not to certify the test results constituted “race-based” discrimination.  As Girardeau Spann has observed,

The reason that the Ricci Court displayed such unquestioning deference to the standardized promotion exam is precisely because whites outperform minorities on standardized tests.  I am not suggesting that the Court conspiratorially chose to utilize an invalid selection criterion in order to favor white firefighters over minority firefighters.  I am suggesting something much more troubling.  I am suggesting that—despite a mass of contrary evidence—the Court actually believed the standardized test to be valid because the results of that test corresponded to the racially-correlated expectations that the culture had taught the Justices equate with merit.  Because whites outperformed minorities on the exam, the exam must have been measuring qualities that were relevant to merit-based promotions.  Therefore, any decision not to certify the results of that exam must have been rooted in a desire to abandon merit in favor of unwarranted racial affirmative action.[111]

This is the point at which Ricci becomes a case about disparate impact’s increasingly uncertain future.  While the majority specifically declined the opportunity to hold that Title VII’s disparate impact provisions are unconstitutional, it began its analysis “with this premise: The City’s actions would violate the disparate-treatment prohibition of Title VII absent some valid defense.”[112]  This statement could be read—and is being treated by many employment lawyers—as suggesting that efforts to avoid disparate impact on minority employees will always present white employees with a cause of action for discriminatory disparate treatment and that employers will only be able to avoid liability in those cases in which they can satisfy Ricci’s new “strong basis in evidence” defense.[113]

Ricci did not, in fact, eliminate—or even really change—disparate impact law.  Employers are still required under Title VII, if their employment practices have an adverse impact, to ensure that the practices are job related and consistent with business necessity.  The majority was quite explicit in stating that an employer may still design job tests and other practices with the goal of avoiding a disparate impact.[114]  Importantly, the majority drew a line between voluntary compliance efforts that seek to avoid disparate impact in the creation and administration of employment tests and practices, on the one hand, and the evaluation of test scores after the tests have been taken, on the other.  The former are not subject to the Court’s new approach.  Only after a test has been taken—when the actual racial makeup of the results is known—will an employer be at risk of disparate treatment liability.  At that point, of course, the risk may be significant.  The “strong basis in evidence” defense, which the majority imported from case law on affirmative action,[115] may be a hard one to meet.  The Court provided no guidance about what kind of information would be sufficient for an employer to demonstrate, after it had administered a test and seen the results, that it had a strong basis in evidence for believing that it would be violating disparate impact law to use the test in making employment decisions.

What Ricci does do is make voluntary diversity efforts less appealing to employers by casting a shadow of potential litigation over these efforts.  Will an employer going through a reduction in force, for example, be sued by white employees if it seeks to ensure that the reduction in force will not unduly impact minority employees?  Will employers face claims of race discrimination if they participate in minority job fairs or engage in other diversity efforts?  Ricci can certainly be read to suggest that any employer action taken to increase opportunities for formerly excluded minority employees constitutes intentional discrimination against white employees.  As Justice Ginsburg noted in her dissenting opinion, there is a “sharp conflict” between the Ricci decision and the “voluntary compliance ideal” that has long been central to the Court’s interpretation of Title VII.[116]

Given the important role that voluntary compliance has always played in response to the possibility of disparate impact liability, Ricci’s consequences for the viability of the doctrine as an important tool in antidiscrimination law are as significant as were the doctrinal changes of Wards Cove.  Indeed, Ricci may be even more troubling because it is extremely hard to know how to respond to the opinion, not only for employers, as discussed above, but also for those seeking a legislative fix for the Court’s new legal standard. After Wards Cove, the calls for a legislative response were immediate[117] and it was relatively clear what a responsive statute might look like: the Court’s opinion had included a series of specific doctrinal statements, and the 1991 Act contained provisions that tracked those statements.[118]  In doing so, Congress made a powerful rhetorical statement rejecting the Supreme Court’s view of the law.

Although there have been calls for a legislative response to Ricci,[119] it really is not clear what that response could look like.  Congress could pass a statute providing that the “strong basis in evidence” test is too high a standard for employers to meet when facing a disparate treatment challenge to efforts at compliance with disparate impact obligations.  The legislature could instead adopt the standard proposed by Justice Ginsburg’s dissent.  But either legislative fix would hardly be responsive to the rhetoric of Ricci.  Still standing would be the underlying assumption: when employers seek to avoid tests that unfairly impact minority workers they are engaging in discrimination against white workers.  That is the true harm in Ricci.

Conclusion

Many people have pointed out that Ricci, read neutrally, suggests that mere racial consciousness is enough to demonstrate intent to discriminate.[120]  This would be a radical change in employment discrimination law if applied to all cases under Title VII.[121]  And yet, nobody really believes the import of Ricci was a liberalizing of the standards that all plaintiffs must meet to prove discrimination.  Twenty years before Ricci, Justice Blackmun’s Wards Cove dissent expressed the fear that “[o]ne wonders whether the majority still believes that race discrimination—or, more accurately, race discrimination against nonwhites—is a problem in our society, or even remembers that it ever was.”[122]  The same could be said of the Ricci majority, which seems to have created and applied a standard for proving discrimination that is applicable only when the plaintiff is attacking an employer’s voluntary effort to avoid disparate impact.  The opinion reflects the sad reality that a majority of the Justices today are likely among the fifty-six percent of American Republicans who believe discrimination against whites is the most serious discrimination problem that our country faces.[123]  On the twentieth anniversary of the Civil Rights Act of 1991 this is a solemn statement about the true impediments to equality.


* Associate Professor of Law, University of Colorado Law School.  Many thanks to Rachel Arnow-Richman, Roberto Corrada, Scott Moss, Helen Norton, and Catherine Smith for their always helpful comments.

[1]. See Charles A. Sullivan, Ricci v. DeStefano: End of the Line or Just Another Turn on the Disparate Impact Road?, 104 Nw. U. L. Rev. Colloquy 201, 202 (2009), http://www.law.northwestern.edu/lawreview/colloquy/2009/40
/LRColl2009n40Sullivan.pdf (noting the “firestorm of protest” that led to the passage of the 1991 Act).

[2]. Id.

[3]. 490 U.S. 642 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1074, as recognized in Raytheon Co. v. Hernandez, 540 U.S. 44 (2003).

[4]. See Joseph A. Seiner & Benjamin N. Gutman, Does Ricci Herald a New Disparate Impact?, 90 B.U. L. Rev. 2181, 2194 (2010) (outlining the disparate impact analysis codified by the 1991 Act).

[5]. Griggs v. Duke Power Co., 401 U.S. 424, 432 (1971).

[6]. See Susan D. Carle, A Social Movement History of Title VII Disparate Impact Analysis, 63 Fla. L. Rev. 251, 257 (2011); Michael Selmi, Was Disparate Impact Theory a Mistake?, 53 UCLA L. Rev. 701, 735–43 (2006); Elaine W. Shoben, Disparate Impact Theory in Employment Discrimination: What’s Griggs Still Good For?  What Not?, 49 Brandeis L.J. 597, 598 (2004).

[7]. 129 S. Ct. 2658 (2009).

[8]. Wards Cove, 490 U.S. at 650–51.

[9]. Griggs, 401 U.S. at 432.

[10]. Id. at 431.

[11]. See id. at 429–30.

[12]. See Selmi, supra note 6, at 708; Elaine W. Shoben, Probing the Discriminatory Effects of Employee Selection Procedures with Disparate Impact Analysis Under Title VII, 56 Tex. L. Rev. 1 (1977) (describing cases).

[13]. See Herbert N. Bernhardt, Griggs v. Duke Power Co.: The Implications for Private and Public Employers, 50 Tex. L. Rev. 901, 928 (1972) (“The importance of the Griggs decision, then, goes well beyond the Court’s holding that employment tests require validation.  It challenges employers to initiate creative programs designed to discover and utilize the job potential of minority applicants.”); Alfred W. Blumrosen, The Legacy of Griggs: Social Progress and Subjective Judgments, 63 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 1, 3–5 (1987).

[14]. Bernhardt, supra note 13, at 928.

[15]. Blumrosen, supra note 13, at 1.

[16]. See, e.g., Richard A. Epstein, Forbidden Grounds: The Case Against Employment Discrimination Laws 234–36 (1992); Paul Brest, In Defense of the Antidiscrimination Principle, 90 Harv. L. Rev. 1, 4 (1976) (describing disparate impact as one of the “most controversial and important” civil rights issues of the preceding decade).

[17]. Harper v. Mayor & City Council of Balt., 359 F. Supp. 1187, 1193 n.5 (D. Md. 1973).

[18]. Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 242 (1976).

[19]. Id. at 245 (alteration in original).

[20]. Indeed, the question of whether disparate impact theory actually violates the Constitution is now up for debate.  See Ricci v. DeStafano, 129 S. Ct. 2658, 2681–82 (2009) (Scalia, J., concurring).  The seeds of that debate were certainly sowed in Washington v. Davis.

[21]. Int’l Bhd. of Teamsters v. United States, 431 U.S. 324, 339 n.20 (1977).

[22]. See, e.g., Epstein, supra note 16, at 234–36; Hugh Steven Wilson, A Second Look at Griggs v. Duke Power Company: Ruminations on Job Testing, Discrimination, and the Role of the Federal Courts, 58 Va. L. Rev. 844, 873 (1972).

[23]. 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(j) (2006) (“Nothing contained in this subchapter shall be interpreted to require any employer . . . to grant preferential treatment to any individual or to any group because of the race . . . or national origin of such individual or group on account of an imbalance which may exist with respect to the total number or percentage of persons of any race . . . or national origin employed by any employer . . . in comparison with the total number or percentage of persons of such race . . . or national origin in any community, State, section, or other area, or in the available work force in any community, State, section, or other area.”).

[24]. Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 340 n.20 (“Statistics showing racial or ethnic imbalance are probative in a case such as this one only because such imbalance is often a telltale sign of purposeful discrimination.”); see also Shoben, supra note 12, at 42 (discussing Justice Stewart’s majority opinion in Teamsters and suggesting that the function of disparate impact analysis is not to require an employer to maintain quotas).

[25]. Teamsters, 431 U.S. at 340 n.20.

[26]. See id. at 339–40 (stating that testimony about personal experiences with the company “brought the cold numbers convincingly to life,” and that the usefulness of statistics “depends on all of the surrounding facts and circumstances”).

[27]. Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642, 647 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1074, as recognized in Raytheon Co. v. Hernandez, 540 U.S. 44 (2003).

[28]. Id.

[29]. Id.

[30]. Id.

[31]. Id.

[32]. Id. at 662 (Blackmun, J., dissenting).

[33]. Id. at 647–48 (majority opinion).

[34]. Id.

[35]. Id. at 648.

[36]. Id.  The disparate impact claims got significantly more attention from both the litigants and the courts throughout the litigation, presumably because they were somewhat novel.  Prior to 1989, only objective employer tests were subject to disparate impact analysis.  Id.  The kinds of hiring standards challenged here were not considered employer “practices.”  That approach changed during the course of this litigation, and it was the primary focus of the litigation.  See Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977, 989–90 (1988) (disparate impact analysis can apply to subjective employment practices).  Given the strength of some of the disparate treatment evidence, one wonders what might have happened if the plaintiffs had maintained a more aggressive focus on their claims of intentional discrimination.

[37]. Wards Cove, 490 U.S. at 649–50.

[38]. Id. at 650.

[39]. Id. (citing Hazelwood Sch. Dist. v. United States, 433 U.S. 299, 308 (1977)).

[40]. Id. at 651.

[41]. Id. at 651–52 (footnote omitted).

[42]. Id. at 657.

[43]. Id.

[44]. Id. (quoting Watson v. Fort Worth Bank & Trust, 487 U.S. 977, 992 (1988)).

[45]. Id. at 659.

[46]. Id.

[47]. Id. at 652–53.

[48]. Id. at 657, 659.

[49]. Id. at 660.

[50]. Id. at 659.

[51]. Id.  The Court concluded by noting that, even if the plaintiffs could not demonstrate that a challenged practice had no business purpose, they might identify an alternative that would have less impact, but still achieve the employer’s legitimate goal.  Id. at 660–61.  Here, in a final blow to the viability of disparate impact claims, the Court found that “any alternative practices which respondents offer up in this respect must be equally effective as petitioners’ chosen hiring procedures in achieving petitioners’ legitimate employment goals” and that the cost of implementing any change was a relevant consideration to whether an alternative was reasonable.  Id. at 661.

[52]. Id. at 661 (Blackmun, J., dissenting).

[53]. Id. at 662 (Stevens, J., dissenting).

[54]. Id. at 662 (Blackmun, J., dissenting).

[55]. Id. at 663 (Stevens, J., dissenting).

[56]. Id. at 662 (Blackmun, J., dissenting).

[57]. Id. at 663 & n.3 (Stevens, J., dissenting).

[58]. See id. at 671–73 (stating that the majority reduced the weight of the employer’s burden of proof, discarded the requirement that the employment practice be essential, and increased the employee’s burden of proof of the causal link to a specific practice).

[59]. See id. at 673–78 (stating that the concept of relevant labor market is not susceptible to exact definition and should here include willingness to accept employment in the industry, and that evidence concerning plaintiffs’ job qualifications and wage differentials in the industry is persuasive despite the lack of precise numerical findings on those issues).

[60]. Id. at 674–75.

[61]. Id. at 674.

[62]. Id. at 676.

[63]. Id. at 664 n.4.

[64]. It is not surprising that the Supreme Court decided Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 8, 105 Stat. 1074, 1076-77 (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(n) (2006)), the same year it decided Wards Cove.  In Wilks, the Court considered how to balance the rights of African-American employees, who entered a consent decree with the Birmingham Fire Department to correct a long history of discrimination, against the rights of white employees, who argued that they were losing job opportunities because of the decree.  Id. at 758.  Wilks was also legislatively overruled in the 1991 Act.  See Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 251 (1994) (stating that section 108 of the 1991 Act responds to Wilks “by prohibiting certain challenges to employment practices implementing consent decrees”).

[65]. See, e.g., Neal Devins, Reagan Redux: Civil Rights Under Bush, 68 Notre Dame L. Rev. 955, 984 (1993).

[66]. Id. at 983; see also Charles A. Sullivan, Disparate Impact: Looking Past the Desert Palace Mirage, 47 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 911, 953–54 (2005) (suggesting that the Clarence Thomas/Anita Hill controversy spurred President Bush to compromise).

[67]. Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 3(2) (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 1981a (2006)) (stating that a purpose of the 1991 Act was “to codify the concepts of ‘business necessity’ and ‘job related’ enunciated by the Supreme Court in Griggs v. Duke Power Co. and in the other Supreme Court decisions prior to Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio.” (citations omitted)).

[68]. Civil Rights Act of 1991 § 105(a) (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(k)(1)(A)(i)).

[69]. Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642, 659 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1074, as recognized in Raytheon Co. v. Hernandez, 540 U.S. 44 (2003).

[70]. 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(k)(1)(A)(i).

[71]. 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(k)(1)(C).  What exactly this means is not entirely clear, as the meaning of “alternative employment practice” has never been completely clear.  See, e.g., Sullivan, supra note 66, at 963–64.

[72]. See Griggs v. Duke Power Co., 401 U.S. 424, 431 (1971).

[73]. 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(k)(1)(B)(i).

[74]. Id.

[75]. Selmi, supra note 6, at 738–40; cf. Sullivan, supra note 66, at 954 (noting the paucity of disparate impact cases since 1991).

[76]. 42 U.S.C. § 1981(b)(1) (2006).

[77]. Helen Norton, The Supreme Court’s Post-Racial Turn Towards a Zero-Sum Understanding of Equality, 52 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 197, 253–54 (2010).

[78]. 129 S. Ct. 2658 (2009).

[79]. Id. at 2671.

[80]. Id. at 2681.

[81]. Wards Cove, 490 U.S. at 663 & n.3 (Stevens, J., dissenting).

[82]. Ricci, 129 S. Ct. at 2702 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).  Especially surprising here was that the majority granted summary judgment for the plaintiffs—a procedural anomaly at any level of the federal court system.

[83]. Id. at 2681 (majority opinion).

[84]. Id. at 2666.

[85]. Id. at 2665.

[86]. Id.

[87]. Id.

[88]. Id. at 2666.

[89]. Id. at 2677–78.

[90]. Id. at 2664.

[91]. Id. at 2667.

[92]. Id.

[93]. Id. at 2667–71.

[94]. Id. at 2671.

[95]. Id.

[96]. Id.  The Court of Appeals affirmed this grant of summary judgment.  Id. at 2672.

[97]. Id. at 2678.

[98]. Id. at 2681.

[99]. Id.

[100]. Id. at 2690–95 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).

[101]. Id. at 2691.

[102]. Norton, supra note 77, at 221.

[103]. Id. at 2692.

[104]. Id.

[105]. See Norton, supra note 77, at 215–19.

[106]. See Henry L. Chambers, Jr., The Wild West of Supreme Court Employment Discrimination Jurisprudence, 61 S.C. L. Rev. 577, 584 (2010) (“Indeed, the Court seemed to suggest that the test actually tested merit.”).

[107]. Ricci, 129 S. Ct. at 2669 (majority opinion) (internal quotation marks omitted).

[108]. Id. at 2668 (alteration in original) (internal quotation marks omitted).

[109]. Id. at 2669 (alteration in original) (internal quotation marks omitted).

[110]. Id. at 2704–07 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).

[111]. See Girardeau A. Spann, Disparate Impact, 98 Geo. L.J. 1133, 1154 (2010).

[112]. Ricci, 129 S. Ct. at 2673 (majority opinion).  Indeed, Justice Scalia concurs separately to note that the decision does not conclude that Title VII’s disparate impact provision is unconstitutional.  Id. at 2681–82 (Scalia, J., concurring).  That question, in his view, is one the Court will likely address in the future.  Id.

[113]. Justice Ginsburg seems to have understood this to be the majority’s new rule.  See id. at 2700 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting) (“Employers may attempt to comply with Title VII’s disparate-impact provision, the Court declares, only where there is a ‘strong basis in evidence’ documenting the necessity of their action.”).  This “strong basis in evidence” defense, which had never been applied in a Title VII case, was imported from a branch of the Supreme Court’s affirmative action jurisprudence.  Id. at 2662 (majority opinion).

[114]. Id. at 2677.

[115]. Id. at 2675–76 (citing City of Richmond v. J.A. Croson Co., 488 U.S. 469, 500 (1989) (plurality opinion)).

[116]. Id. at 2701–02 (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).

[117]. See Niall A. Paul, Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio: The Supreme Court’s Disparate Treatment of the Disparate Impact Doctrine, 8 Hofstra Lab. L.J. 127, 153 & nn.236–37 (1990) (recounting congressional reaction to Wards Cove and detailing the resulting legislation that was introduced); see also Candace S. Kovacic-Fleisher, Proving Discrimination After Price Waterhouse and Wards Cove: Semantics as Substance, 39 Am. U. L. Rev. 615, 666 (1990) (recommending legislation to restore basic burden of proof principles in disparate impact cases).

[118]. See Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, § 3, 105 Stat. 1071, 1071 (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 1981a (2006)).

[119]. See, e.g., Cheryl I. Harris & Kimberly West-Faulcon, Reading Ricci: Whitening Discrimination, Racing Test Fairness, 58 UCLA L. Rev. 73, 163–65 (2010).

[120]. Chambers, supra note 106, at 587.

[121]. Sullivan, supra note 1, at 207.

[122]. Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642, 662 (1988) (Blackmun, J., dissenting), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1074, as recognized in Raytheon Co. v. Hernandez, 540 U.S. 44 (2003).

[123]. Charles M. Blow, Op-Ed., Let’s Rescue the Race Debate, N.Y. Times, Nov. 20, 2010, at A19.

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By: Wendy Parker*

Introduction

The Civil Rights Act of 1991[1] (“Act” or “1991 Act”) was thought to be a victory for employment discrimination plaintiffs—a “dramatic” expansion of their rights.[2]  Twenty years later, however, we are told that the news for employment discrimination plaintiffs has gone “from bad to worse.”[3]  Employment discrimination plaintiffs should expect defendants to win their pretrial motions.[4]  Even if plaintiffs survive pretrial practice, they will likely lose at trial.[5]  Other than settlement, the chances of any plaintiff recovery are quite thin.[6]  Employment discrimination plaintiffs, or perhaps their lawyers, seem to have gotten the message.  Employment discrimination suits are declining—even while Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (“EEOC”) filings are increasing.[7]  Federal litigation is becoming less and less relevant to redressing employment discrimination.

In this Article, as this Symposium reflects on the twenty-year history of the 1991 Act, I explore just how much “worse” things are today for plaintiffs.  I do this by asking two questions.  First, are plaintiffs now less likely to win than they were before the passage of the 1991 Act?  In other words, does today’s bad news obscure the progress made since 1991?  Second, does the 1991 Act’s expanded jury-trial right provide all plaintiffs an equal chance at recovery?  The increased access to a jury trial was thought to be a major advancement for plaintiffs, and this Article analyzes whether particular types of plaintiffs fare better than others through an original Jury Outcome Study of 102 jury trials.

Through these inquiries, I discover some optimistic news.  Most significantly, plaintiffs today are more likely to win at the trial level than before the 1991 Act.[8]  The expanded right to a jury trial granted by the 1991 Act[9] likely has improved trial win rates, but an increase in win rates in bench trials is partly at play as well.[10]  The news, then, is not all bad.

But this is not a story of optimism.  The increased win rate at the trial stage does not mean a greater percentage of plaintiffs are winning.  Litigation filings themselves are declining.[11]  Despite these reduced numbers, a lower percentage of plaintiffs proceed to trial today.[12]  And even if plaintiffs present their cases to juries—the stage at which they enjoy their highest chance of success—losses are still likely.[13]

Nor are trials without risks for plaintiffs.  In my Study of 102 jury trials and 10 bench trials, plaintiffs were much more likely to be ordered to write defendants a check—for the defendants’ costs—than the other way around.[14]

Most troubling, this is not a story of equality.  Plaintiffs win most often before juries, but jury win rates differ with the category of plaintiff.  For example, this Study reveals that African Americans and Latinos claiming race discrimination have the lowest jury win rates.[15]  Empirical studies of employment discrimination litigation usually do not distinguish among the types of discrimination alleged or the types of plaintiffs involved.[16]  The very few that do have also found that African Americans have lower win rates at various procedural stages.[17]  No study examining this issue has found differently.  Thus, although my evidence is far from overwhelming—I analyze only 102 jury trials—it adds to the increasing evidence of inequality.

The question then becomes, what causes the disparity?  Many who study jury behavior would predict jury bias by white jurors against African-American and Latino plaintiffs.[18]  While the evidence is increasing that juries are not neutral and it is likely that juror bias is partly at play, I conclude that the evidence of juror bias is not thus far conclusive in the context of employment discrimination litigation.[19]  Other factors may also be at work.

This Article proceeds in three parts.  Part I presents the story of the change promised by the 1991 Act and compares outcomes before and after the 1991 Act.  Here we discover one optimistic comparison: trial outcomes today are actually higher than they were before the 1991 Act, while pretrial outcomes and settlement rates are about the same.[20]

Part II examines jury trials—the stage at which plaintiffs have the highest chance of success.  We know surprisingly little about what types of plaintiffs are likely to win a jury trial.  This Part analyzes 102 jury trials in seven judicial districts from 2005 to 2007.  By examining outcomes in these jury trials, this Article demonstrates the uphill battle faced by African-American and Latino plaintiffs claiming race discrimination, particularly when compared to women claiming sex discrimination and others claiming race discrimination.

Part III is the heart of this Article and puts the results from Parts I and II in context.  I demonstrate that my findings are consistent with the few other studies that disaggregate outcome data by the type of discrimination alleged and the type of plaintiff involved.  Thus, my findings are less likely to be an exception and more likely to represent the reality of litigation for African Americans and Latinos.

In addition, many (but not all) who study jury behavior predict that jurors will bring their own biases into the jury room.[21]  Specifically, many studies demonstrate a bias of white jurors against black defendants.[22]  It would be easy to use this research to blame white juror bias for the disparate outcomes found in jury studies.  And it is likely true that white juror bias is at least partly to blame.  But without access to more information about the composition of the actual juries in this Study—some of which were probably all white, but some of which were probably diverse, and all of which reached unanimity for their verdicts—I am hesitant to end the analysis with that conclusion.[23]  In fact, some recent research demonstrates a decrease in white juror bias when race issues are salient and when juries themselves are diverse.[24]  Thus, the causes for the disparities—like the underlying problem of racism—are complex and not readily reducible to a single explanation.  As is often true, more research is needed.

I.  The Attempt at Change

This Part begins with a story of change: the increase in plaintiffs’ rights under the Civil Rights Act of 1991 (and other legislation), the litigation growth that followed, and the subsequent changes in the law.  This Part then uses the research of others to make new comparisons between outcomes in employment discrimination cases before and after the 1991 Act.  This analysis demonstrates that the news has never been very encouraging for employment discrimination plaintiffs.  One data point is, however, most encouraging: plaintiffs today are more likely to win if they get to trial.  Yet, plaintiffs are now less likely to make it to trial in the first place.

A.            The 1991 Act

1. The Legislation Itself

Labeled a “quota” bill, the 1991 Act faced fierce opposition, including a presidential veto of a prior version of the bill in 1990.[25]  Two events in 1991 altered the political calculus for those opposing the 1991 Act, especially for moderate Republicans.  Former Klansman David Duke ran, unsuccessfully but surprisingly well, to become the Governor of Louisiana, and the Supreme Court confirmed Clarence Thomas to replace Thurgood Marshall on the Supreme Court, but only after a bruising battle that touched on sexual harassment in the workplace.[26]  Both supporters and opponents of the 1991 Act heralded it as an extension of plaintiffs’ rights in employment discrimination cases.[27]  The Act deemed wrong five Supreme Court opinions[28]—thereby “restoring” pro-plaintiff standards—and also granted plaintiffs new rights to compensatory and punitive damages[29] and jury trials.[30]

2. The Number of Suits Filed

Commentators have long noted the litigation “explosion” that followed the 1991 Act.[31]  By 1997, employment discrimination filings[32] had tripled[33] to become the largest category of civil litigation, at 10% of the docket.[34]  Two other points, however, are often missed and put this increase in needed context.

First, complaints about the growth in employment discrimination filings preceded the 1991 Act.  The American Law Institute, for example, in 1989 bemoaned the “explosion” in such litigation.[35]  Between 1970 and 1989, the number of suits increased from 336 to 7613, a 2166% increase.[36]  Yet, that increase mainly occurred in the 1970s; the number of suits filed in the 1980s held fairly steady.[37]

Second, the number of employment discrimination suits began declining in 1998, after peaking at 23,796 in 1997.[38]  Meanwhile, the overall civil docket has held fairly steady since 1985.[39]  Between 1997 and 2006, employment discrimination filings decreased 40%.[40]  As of 2009, employment discrimination litigation accounted for fewer than 6% of the civil federal court docket[41] and lagged behind personal-injury product-liability cases and habeas corpus petitions.[42]

By contrast, the number of EEOC charges held fairly steady through 2007[43] and then substantially increased in 2008 and remained high in 2009.[44]  This suggests that the decreased federal litigation rate is not likely due to a decrease in perceived discrimination, but a decrease in workers and their lawyers seeking federal court intervention.[45]  While the number of filings still exceeds that of 1990, the recent decline in filings suggests that the enthusiasm for federal court involvement is abating, even while employees continue to complain to the EEOC about discrimination.[46]

B.            Subsequent Changes

1. Post-1991 Legal Changes

Like these numbers, the law of employment discrimination is far from static.  The 1991 Act was not Congress’s only attempt at expanding plaintiffs’ rights in the workplace.  The previous year, Congress recognized disability as a protected status in the workplace with the passage of the Americans with Disabilities Act (“ADA”),[47] which also certainly contributed to the increase in employment discrimination filings.  In addition, the Family and Medical Leave Act of 1993 (“FMLA”) forbade for the first time discrimination against employees using protected family and medical leave.[48]

Two years after Congress effectively rebuked several of the Supreme Court’s employment discrimination opinions, the Court again made it more difficult to prove a disparate treatment claim in St. Mary’s Honor Center v. Hicks.[49]  The Court has since placed significant restrictions on disability claims.[50]  More recently, in Ricci v. DeStefano, the Supreme Court called into question the continued viability of disparate impact claims.[51]  Congress again “corrected” Supreme Court rulings in the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009.[52]

Other Supreme Court opinions on federalism and pleading have also limited the rights of employment discrimination plaintiffs.  The Court has restricted state employees from receiving compensatory damages when suing their employers under the Age Discrimination in Employment Act (“ADEA”)[53] and the ADA.[54]  The Court has also increased the pleading burdens required to survive a motion to dismiss for all types of cases.[55]  Preliminary results indicate that employment discrimination cases are particularly susceptible to these heightened pleading hurdles and are more likely to be dismissed before the discovery phase.[56]

All of these changes make it impossible to pinpoint the 1991 Act as the particular agent of change.  Many factors obviously contribute to the ebb and flow of employment discrimination litigation outcomes.[57]  Yet, given the significance of the 1991 Act, its twentieth anniversary is a good time to judge whether outcomes for plaintiffs are improving or getting worse.

C.            Outcomes

The focus in this Subpart is whether plaintiffs have higher success rates than they did before 1991.  Clear indications of better outcomes would be lower rates of losing on a pretrial motion (which are almost always filed by defendants) and higher win rates and award amounts at trial.  Settlement rates, which are more difficult to interpret, are also examined here.

1. Pretrial Disposition

Pretrial disposition rates are about the same before and after the 1991 Act.[58]  About 30% of employment discrimination plaintiffs have their cases terminated under either a motion to dismiss or motion for summary judgment.[59]  These pretrial adjudication rates are quite similar to the rates for other types of cases.[60]

Yet, employment discrimination plaintiffs themselves are much less likely to win a pretrial adjudication than are plaintiffs in cases outside of the employment discrimination context.[61]  That is, employment discrimination plaintiffs are more likely to lose on their own motion for summary judgment when compared to other types of plaintiffs.

While pretrial disposition rates have held fairly steady, with time more plaintiffs may lose on a motion to dismiss.  From 2001 to 2003 the overall rate of pretrial judgments stayed about the same, but the percentage of dismissals increased, while summary judgments decreased.[62]  The heightened pleading requirements in Twombly and Iqbal, decided in 2007[63] and 2009,[64] respectively, may further increase the rate of dismissals in the years to come.[65]

In sum, today pretrial adjudication rates are about the same as they were before the 1991 Act.  Yet, the evidence indicates that plaintiffs may be more likely to lose a motion to dismiss in the future.  Whether an increase in dismissals due to Twombly and Iqbal will correspondingly mean a decreased loss rate on motions for summary judgment—so that the overall pretrial adjudication rate stays about the same—is unknown at this time.  Regardless, an increase in dismissals likely means fewer and lower settlements for plaintiffs.  Professor Minna J. Kotkin has found that settlement rates and amounts increase after a defendant loses a pretrial motion.[66]

2. Trial Rates

Before the 1991 Act, juries were available in age discrimination claims under the ADEA and for intentional race discrimination claims filed under § 1981.[67]  The 1991 Act made juries available for all claims brought under Title VII,[68] which is the most common statute for employment discrimination claims, by making compensatory damages available under Title VII for disparate treatment claims.[69]  This perhaps had the largest impact on sex discrimination plaintiffs, who before had no access to jury trials.[70]

Trial rates are certainly down since the 1991 Act.  Overall, the percentage of trials (both jury and bench) has declined from 18% in 1979 to 9% in 1990 and to 3% in 2006.[71]  This decline is not unique to employment discrimination cases; federal cases in general are less likely to be decided by trial.[72]  The number of employment discrimination jury trials has, however, increased substantially.[73]  Correspondingly, the number of bench trials has declined.[74]

Interestingly, employment discrimination cases are more likely to reach trial than the rest of the federal civil docket.[75]  Until 2003, employment cases were more likely to result in a bench trial than nonemployment cases.[76]  Now the rate is fairly similar, with nonemployment cases slightly more likely to be tried in front of a judge.[77]  Juries, however, are much more likely to resolve employment cases than nonemployment cases.[78]  That began in 1994 and continues today.[79]  In sum, while most employment discrimination cases are not resolved via trial, their jury-trial rates are higher as compared to other cases.

3. Trial Disposition Rates

Win rates for plaintiffs who reach trial are actually higher today than before 1991.  From 1978 to 1985, plaintiffs’ success rate at trial was 22%.[80]  By 1990, the win rate reached almost 24%.[81]  The win rate was nearly 36% in 1998,[82] and this increased to just over 38% in 2001.[83]  Other types of plaintiffs fare significantly better at trial, but the gap has narrowed considerably since 1997.[84]

The improved win rate is very likely due both to the growth in the number of jury trials and the increase in the win rate of bench trials.  Plaintiffs’ win rates have always been higher when a jury decided the case, and jury-trial win rates have held fairly steady.  From 1978 to 1985, juries found in favor of plaintiffs at a rate of almost 43%.[85]  The jury win rates in 1990 and 2001 were similarly high and remained consistent, at 41%.[86]  The bench-trial win rate, however, started much lower, at 16% in 1990, but increased to 33% in 2001.[87]  While the bench-trial win rate has declined a little since 2001, it is still higher than it was in 1990.[88]

The reasons for the difference in jury and judge outcomes in employment discrimination cases have long been disputed.  Some contend that a case-selection effect causes the disparities rather than anything particular to judges or juries.[89]  Others argue that judge bias is at play.[90]

4. Trial Awards

The 1991 Act made additional damages available for Title VII litigation,[91] so one would expect award amounts to have increased, even apart from inflation rates.  Yet, the one study making this comparison found a decrease in awards between 1990 and 2001.[92]  This study of outcomes of all employment discrimination cases disposed of by trial between 1990 and 2001 found a median monetary award of $248,500 in 1990, but only $130,500 in 2001.[93]  The difference could be due to the miscoding of data,[94] but the significant decline is still troubling and hints at the need for research and analysis into why the awards are declining.[95]

Juries continue to award more than judges, but the difference is decreasing.  For example, the median jury award in 1990 was $440,000, but in 2001 dropped to $141,500.[96]  The median bench award has stayed fairly constant.  In 1990 the median bench award was $114,000, and in 2001 it was $112,500.[97]  Other studies of civil rights cases in general consistently conclude that juries award higher damages than do judges.[98]

5. Settlement

A more difficult question is how to treat settlement, particularly given the lack of access to settlement amount data.  Settlement is the most common disposition for employment discrimination cases.[99]  I found little difference in settlement rates before and after the 1991 Act.  In 1990, 35% of cases settled, and in 1998 that rate increased a little, to 39%.[100]  By 2001 the rate had increased to nearly 43%,[101] but has declined since then.[102]

Employment discrimination cases do not settle more frequently than other cases,[103]  but they are less likely to be settled early in the proceedings compared to other types of cases.[104]  This means that employment plaintiffs must invest more time and money into their lawsuits before settling[105]—thereby increasing the cost of litigation to plaintiffs—but possibly gaining a higher award through the effort.[106]

Higher settlement amounts, even if settlement disposition rates remain the same, would very likely indicate better outcomes for plaintiffs, but settlement amounts are difficult to obtain.  It is also hard to interpret overall settlement rates, detached from any information about merits or settlement amounts.[107]  The little information available indicates that settlements are likely to be in the five-figure range, both before and after the 1991 Act.[108]  The evidence comparing pre-1991 outcomes with post-1991 outcomes, however, is currently too thin a data set from which to draw any firm conclusions.  The lack of increase in settlement amounts—despite the increased availability of damages in the 1991 Act[109] and the rate of inflation—suggests, however, that plaintiffs are not gaining an advantage in settlements after the 1991 Act.

6. Summary

In sum, employment discrimination cases are being filed at a greater rate since 1990, but filings have been declining since 1998.[110]  By comparison, the overall civil docket has held fairly steady, while EEOC filings are recently up.[111]  Pretrial dispositions in favor of defendants have remained fairly constant, but an increase in dismissals under Rule 12(b)(6) has occurred recently and that rate of dismissal may continue to grow.[112]  Defendants win pretrial motions at about the same rate in employment discrimination cases as they do in other civil cases, but plaintiffs in employment discrimination litigation are much more likely to lose their own pretrial motions as compared to other plaintiffs.[113]  As with the overall federal docket, fewer employment discrimination cases are decided by trial, but more are decided by a jury than before the 1991 Act, and the jury-trial rate today is higher for employment discrimination cases than for other cases.[114]  Jury win rates have remained fairly constant after the 1991 Act and are lower compared to other cases.[115]  Bench win rates are up since the 1991 Act, but are still lower than rates from other cases.[116]  Trial award amounts are down, but more research is needed to determine why that is the case.[117]  Lastly, settlement rates and amounts appear to be about the same as they were prior to the Act, but the research here is relatively sparse.[118]

II.  Jury Outcome Study

This Part presents my Jury Outcome Study.  Only a small percentage of employment cases reach juries—less than 3% (a higher rate than in other cases).[119]  Yet, once before a jury, plaintiffs have their highest chance of success.[120]  We know surprisingly little, however, about how juries treat particular types of claims and plaintiffs.[121]  This Jury Outcome Study specifically identifies the plaintiff’s claim, instead of the usual methodology, which analyzes employment discrimination claims as a whole.[122]  This Part starts with a description of the Jury Outcome Study and then analyzes the resulting data.  Here, I reveal the low chances of success for some plaintiffs, particularly as compared to their peers.

A.            Methodology

To find jury trials, my research assistant and I searched online databases maintained by the respective courts[123] to find the case summary sheet for all cases in seven districts (those districts for the cities of Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, New Orleans, New York City, Philadelphia, and San Francisco)[124] filed between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2007, with a case code of 442 (the code for employment discrimination filings)[125] with at least an eighteen-month disposition time.[126]  When the case-summary sheet indicated that a jury or bench trial was held, the case was analyzed.  The Study only included employment discrimination claims actually decided via trial.  Claims disposed by pretrial motions, pretrial settlements, or post-trial motions were excluded.  Using docket sheets and court documents, I assessed who won, and on what claims.  Due to the Study’s focus on trial outcomes, I did not analyze subsequent appeals (although others have demonstrated that plaintiffs are likely to lose here as well)[127] or post-trial settlements.

Lastly, I excluded cases in which the plaintiff was pro se at the time of trial.  This study evaluates win rates, and pro se plaintiffs are notorious for their low win rates.[128]  With these exclusions, the Jury Study examined 102 jury trials.  I also collected data on the bench trials meeting the same criteria, but only found ten such cases.

A major limitation on a study like this one is that the analysis of outcomes is detached from any analysis of a claim’s merits.[129]  By excluding pro se cases, I likely excluded the cases with too little merit for a lawyer to accept and cases litigated with too little skill to be successful.  Thus, the Study only includes claims that a lawyer deemed had some merit and were then litigated with some degree of lawyerly skill.

Other than this exclusion, it is quite difficult to assess the merits of employment discrimination complaints.  The defendant’s subjective intent and plaintiff’s work skills are usually key issues and often involve conflicting stories, which do not lend themselves to objective assessments.[130]  After all, the judge has likely ruled that reasonable jurors could disagree about the facts, thus necessitating an actual trial.  As a result, the data below cannot be used to assess the quality of the underlying claims.

Yet, the data is useful for another analysis.  I use the data instead to determine whether some plaintiffs fare worse than others.  I proceed with the presumption that lawyers have similar incentives and skills to file or defend all types of employment discrimination suits.[131]  The case selection effects should be about the same for all types of employment plaintiffs, with similar stakes and skills on both sides.  Yet, we see in the Jury Outcome Study that some plaintiffs fare worse than other plaintiffs.  These differences in outcomes suggest that something other than the usual reasons for low outcomes is at play.[132]

B.            The Outcomes

Of the 102 jury trials, most were race/national origin claims (63%), followed by gender claims (26%).[133]  The Appendix to this Article details the claims asserted in the 102 jury trials.[134]  The data not in the Appendix can be accessed online.[135]  The following chart summarizes the win rates for the most common types of discrimination by the type of discrimination alleged.

 

Figure 1

figure 1Parker

Overall, the plaintiff’s jury-trial win rate, 27%, is lower than what others have found for employment discrimination litigation (about 40%, which includes pro se plaintiffs).[136]  Perhaps jury win rates are declining.  This is a study of more recent cases than the earlier studies.  Or maybe juries in these large metropolitan areas have lower win rates than the nation as a whole, which was the subject of some of the earlier studies.

Looking at broad categories of status, religion claims had the lowest win rate at 0% and FMLA claims had the highest win rate at 50%.[137]  Yet, only two religion claims and two FMLA claims went to a jury, so it is hard to draw much from these outcomes.[138]  Gender claims had a 22% win rate, and race and national origin claims had a win rate of 27%.[139]

The mean plaintiff award for all 102 jury trials was $493,080.[140]  Gender claims had a comparatively low mean award at $229,884, while race and national origin claims had a mean award of $244,347.[141]  Age and disability claims had seven-figure mean awards of $1,917,872 and $1,458,667, respectively.[142]

The disparities in damages could be due to a number of factors–the earning capacity of the plaintiff,[143] the size of the employer given the statutory caps under Title VII,[144] the lack of economically based adverse employment action in some sexual harassment claims,[145] and the liquidated damages available under the ADEA.[146]  Thus, it is difficult to draw any conclusions from these differences in damage awards.  The variances might very likely be due to the different types of plaintiffs and claims before the jury and to underlying damage principles, rather than any bias or preference.

Interestingly, when looking at all trials, both bench and jury, it was slightly more likely that the plaintiff was ordered to pay the defendant its costs than it was for the plaintiff to recover any damages.  In the 112 trials (this includes ten bench trials and 102 jury trials) with a represented plaintiff, plaintiffs won twenty-nine cases, with damages awarded in all twenty-nine cases.[147]  Yet, in thirty-one cases, the plaintiffs lost at trial, and were ordered to pay the defendants’ costs.[148]  Granted, the amounts of the defendants’ costs were much lower than the plaintiffs’ awards.[149]  The mean amount awarded to the defendant for costs was $7678.[150]  It is also entirely possible that the plaintiff never paid the defendant’s costs—with either the parties settling that claim, perhaps in exchange for the plaintiff not pursuing an appeal, or with the defendant not pursuing payment.  Regardless, this suggests a risk for plaintiffs in taking their claims to trial.

Certain types of plaintiffs outperformed other types within the same category.[151]  For example, women were much more likely to win their claims of gender discrimination than men.[152]  Women won 27% of their jury trials, while men won 0%.[153]

In the category of discrimination based on race and national origin, the overall 27% win rate was inflated by the high win rate of whites (50%, n=4) and Asian Americans (58%, n=12).[154]  Those claiming discrimination based on their status as African American or Latino, however, were much less likely to win, with respective win rates of 16% (n=31) and 18% (n=11).[155]  Latinos also had by far the lowest mean plaintiff award, at $55,887.[156]  African Americans, on the other hand, had the highest mean award in the race discrimination category, at $347,482.[157]

 

Figure 2

figure2Parker

The meaning of these disparate outcomes is the subject of the next Part.

III.  Inequality and Juries

This Part explores likely meanings of the disparate jury outcomes experienced by African-American and Latino plaintiffs claiming race discrimination.  It begins by examining whether this outcome is consistent with other studies.  Few studies disaggregate employment discrimination claims by type of discrimination or plaintiff.[158]  Those that do demonstrate that African-American plaintiffs are more likely to lose than other plaintiffs[159]—just as this Study found for African-American plaintiffs claiming race discrimination.[160]  I then explore what scholars studying jury behavior would predict.  Social psychologists often find evidence of racial and gender bias in juries, particularly in the criminal arena.[161]  These biases may partly explain the results in the Jury Outcome Study.  Before assigning the sole responsibility for the disparity on juror bias, however, more information about the racial composition of the juries themselves is needed, particularly given the unanimity requirement for juries, the possibility of diverse juries, and the gaps in the social science research.

A.            Other Studies

Most studies of employment discrimination suits examine such litigation as a whole.[162]  The few studies that disaggregate the data by type of claim and plaintiff, however, conclude that plaintiffs do not fare equally in their employment discrimination suits.[163]

A study by the American Bar Foundation (“ABF”) examined a random sampling of 1672 employment discrimination suits filed between 1988 and 2003 in the seven districts studied herein.[164]  That study concluded that African-American plaintiffs claiming any type of discrimination were more likely to lose at all stages of litigation than other employment discrimination plaintiffs.[165]  Specifically, they were more likely to have their cases dismissed or lose on summary judgment, and less likely to settle or prevail at trial.[166]

By comparison, female plaintiffs claiming any type of discrimination fared much better than other employment discrimination plaintiffs.  Their claims were less likely to be dismissed or denied on summary judgment than male plaintiffs, and more likely to settle or prevail at trial.[167]  Like the Jury Outcome Study, the ABF study found that “men filing Title VII sex claims fare worse than women, but that whites filing race claims do somewhat better than African Americans.”[168]

Professor David Benjamin Oppenheimer examined California jury verdicts in 272 employment discrimination cases from 1998 to 1999 and was able to disaggregate the data and examine intersectionality of claims.[169]  Overall, plaintiffs claiming race discrimination were more likely to lose their cases than were employment discrimination plaintiffs as a whole.[170]  As the Jury Outcome Study revealed, white plaintiffs fared significantly better than nonwhite plaintiffs when claiming race discrimination.[171]  Professor Oppenheimer also found that sexual harassment claims had the highest win rate, especially for men claiming same-sex sexual harassment.[172]  In the Jury Outcome Study, women fared better than men in gender discrimination claims, but none of the four cases involving men in the Study involved same-sex harassment.[173]

Professor Oppenheimer also discovered particularly low win rates when intersecting categories.[174]  He summarized his thorough and interesting study of California juries with this: “[T]he case is strong that judges and juries in California are far more skeptical of race and sex-based employment discrimination claims brought by black women, and age-based employment discrimination claims brought by women over forty, than other employment law claims.”[175]

Settlement rates also differ by claim.  In one study, sexual harassment claims had the highest settlement rate, while race claims were the least likely to settle.[176]  Similarly, Professor Kotkin’s study on settlements revealed that race claims had the lowest median settlement rates and a disproportionate representation in the category of very low settlements.[177]  This may have been partly explained by the high proportion of pro se plaintiffs claiming race discrimination, given that pro se plaintiffs typically have lower success rates.[178]  Yet, the study still indicated that whites claiming race discrimination had higher settlements.[179]

Nor did I find studies demonstrating that African Americans fared better than other plaintiffs.  Thus, the Jury Outcome Study’s findings are less likely to be an aberration, but instead likely to be representative of the reality of race discrimination litigation for African Americans and Latinos.  The next Subpart turns to research on jury behavior to explore possible explanations for these negative outcomes for African-American and Latino plaintiffs.

B.            Jury Behavior

1. Jury Demographics

My Study did not include an analysis of the racial makeup of the 102 juries.[180]  The populations of the districts studied (Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, New Orleans, New York City, Philadelphia, and San Francisco) are relatively diverse.  Yet, the juries are still more likely to have greater white membership than African-American or Latino membership given the demographics of even diverse communities.  For example, in the Southern District of New York (“SDNY”), whites comprise a majority of the members of the qualified jury wheels used to select jurors.[181]  The same is true for nonfederal civil trials in Cook County, Illinois, which includes the City of Chicago.[182]  In addition to this numerical minority status, qualified African Americans and Latinos are less likely to be placed on the qualified jury wheel in SDNY.[183]

Because whites outnumber minorities even on Chicago and New York City juries, “minority defendants are [at] a significantly greater risk of facing a jury that is disproportionately white.”[184]  Sometimes this translates into all-white juries.  In the Chicago study, 28% of six-member juries had no African-American members, and 66% had no Latino members, making all-white juries far from unknown.[185]  Thus, I presume that most of the juries in this study had some minority representation, but that whites still predominated.  I also presume that if Chicago has a number of all-white juries, other districts will as well.  Federal civil juries typically have only six members, and one study concluded that a six-person jury is less likely to be diverse than a twelve-member jury.[186]  Yet, all jurors must reach the same conclusion; federal civil juries have a unanimity requirement.[187]

2. Juror Bias

Newspapers regularly report the racial and gender composition of juries, thereby implying that a jury’s demographics matter.[188]  The Supreme Court’s prohibition against peremptory challenges based on race or gender also presumes at some level that a juror’s race or gender affects how that juror will decide a case.[189]  Similarly, a recent and innovative study of female judges found that women claiming sex discrimination were more likely to win when at least one of the appellate judges is female.[190]  Psychological research also has demonstrated considerable racial bias in the population at large.[191]  In other words, in many arenas we believe that a person’s race and gender impacts how that person might determine a case.

This Subpart examines whether social psychological research on jury behavior—what some call jury discrimination[192]—is at least part of the reason for the less favorable outcomes suffered by African Americans and Latinos alleging race discrimination.  That is, are white jurors too unlikely to believe African Americans’ and Latinos’ claims of race discrimination?  Because minorities also serve on juries, this Subpart further analyzes whether, and how, minority representation will likely impact outcomes in race employment discrimination suits.

Many studies of white jurors in criminal cases would predict bias by white jurors against African Americans.  Social psychologists have fairly consistently found in criminal cases that white jurors are more likely to convict African-American defendants, more likely to impose longer sentences on African-American defendants, and less likely to convict in cases with African-American victims.[193]  The studies with white jurors and Latino defendants are fewer in number, but overall consistent with what has been found for white jurors and African-American defendants.[194]

One might infer from these criminal studies that whites would have a similar bias in civil cases, but few have done similar studies in the civil context.  One study by Professors Ted Eisenberg and Martin Wells found that an increase of African Americans in the jury pool correlated with an increase in successful employment discrimination cases, but this finding only held in federal court, and not in state court.[195]

Studies also document the impact of women serving on juries.  Specifically, women are more likely than men to convict defendants accused of rape, and more likely to convict and award longer sentences to defendants accused of crimes against children.[196]  Women jurors also rule more often in favor of women alleging sexual harassment.[197]

I find it fairly easy to relate the Jury Outcome Study’s higher win rate for women claiming sex discrimination to the prevalence of women on juries.[198]  Even without access to information about demographics of the 102 juries, it is hard to imagine any of the juries being all male, or not having a significant representation of women.  The prevalence of women on juries likely has a strong effect on jury outcomes in sex discrimination cases, similar to the presence of female judges at the appellate level.[199]

Explaining the low win rate of African Americans and Latinos by pointing to white juror discrimination is tempting as well.  Plenty of evidence in the criminal law context would support this conclusion.[200]  To the extent, however, that people of color are on the juries, the biases of those juries would depend on finding biases on behalf of those jurors, or a willingness to go along with biases of the white jurors.  Here the evidence is quite thin; most evidence indicates a bias of African-American jurors for African-American parties, and little research examines how African Americans and whites interact on juries.[201]  Also unexplained by the juror-bias studies is why Asian Americans have higher win rates, unless one supposes that whites do not have the negative stereotypes about Asian Americans that they have against African Americans and Latinos—which may, in fact, be true.[202]

Yet, I ultimately conclude that while white juror bias may be at issue—especially on all-white juries—more research into the demographics of the actual juries is needed to determine to what degree that bias causes disparate outcomes.  The presence of all-white juries would be particularly instructive, but to what extent all-white juries decided race discrimination claims is simply unknown.

In addition, the issue of disparate jury outcomes is likely too complicated for simple conclusions.  For example, the studies of white juror bias are not without critics.  While many find instances of jury discrimination by whites, Professors Samuel Sommers and Phoebe Ellsworth argue fairly persuasively that most of the criminal studies are too limited in scope and technique to be ultimately conclusive in labeling white jurors as generally discriminatory.[203]  They particularly fault many studies for examining only white jurors, without comparing those jurors’ outcomes with those of African-American jurors (who may have a bias similar to that of the whites in the study), and for determining only how individuals react, when actual jurors decide cases collectively, as members of a jury.[204]

Professors Sommers and Ellsworth agree that white juror bias exists, but their research suggests it would be less prevalent in employment discrimination litigation.[205]  They draw on psychological research demonstrating that white bias is “more likely when salient norms regarding racism are absent.”[206]  That is, in the “run-of-the-mill” situation, whites will demonstrate bias, but when race becomes an issue, whites demonstrate less bias.[207]

Relying on this research, they conducted two mock jury studies.  They found that an increase of racial salience in a criminal trial actually decreases the disparate impact of white juror discrimination on African-American defendants.[208]  Thus, “[w]hen racial issues were made salient in the case, individual White mock jurors were equally likely to vote to convict the White and Black defendant.  When race was not salient, Whites gave higher guilt ratings and longer sentence recommendations to the Black defendant than to the White defendant.”[209]

Employment discrimination cases filed on the basis of race by their nature make race issues salient.  The research of Professors Sommers and Ellsworth suggests, therefore, that the biases of white jurors may be less at play in employment discrimination than many of the criminal jury studies suggest.

This may be particularly true for juries that are diverse.  Professors Sommers and Ellsworth further argue that jury diversity improves the quality of outcomes and decreases racially disparate outcomes.[210]  Specifically, one study indicated that “racial diversity has a significant effect on the judgments of White jurors and on their contributions to deliberations.”[211]  Even before the juries began to deliberate, whites on diverse juries were less likely to convict African-American defendants than whites on all-white juries.[212]  Thus, to the extent the juries in this Study were not all white, this research further suggests something in addition to white juror bias is at play.

The idea of juror bias is consistent with many studies and with the enduring nature of racism.  To the extent that the juries studied herein were all white, juror bias could very well cause disparate outcomes for African-American and Latino plaintiffs alleging race discrimination.  The picture becomes more complicated, however, to the extent that the juries were not all white.  Research on the value of diverse juries and on the reaction of whites when race issues are salient would suggest that something more than white juror bias is at issue.  Perhaps the legal standards do not adequately capture today’s expressions of discrimination against African Americans or Latinos.  Further, pretrial rulings by judges could be affecting the claims and evidence presented to juries.  In short, while white juror bias may be at play, other factors likely are as well.

Conclusion

The news is not all bad for employment discrimination plaintiffs.  Since the passage of the Civil Rights Act of 1991, plaintiff outcomes in trials are up.  Juries resolve more employment discrimination claims than before, and plaintiffs continue to do best when a jury decides the facts.  Even bench trials are more welcoming to plaintiffs than before the Act’s passage.

Yet, a disconnect between perceived discrimination and judicially found discrimination exists.  EEOC filings are up, but federal court filings are down.  Further, the most common type of EEOC complaint—a race discrimination claim filed by an African American—faces decreased odds of winning a jury trial when compared to other employment discrimination plaintiffs.  Why African Americans and Latinos have depressed win rates—a finding not unique to this jury study—could possibly be explained by biases jurors typically bring to the jury room, and an increase in jury diversity could possibly help to ameliorate some of this bias.

 

APPENDIX

Table 1: Plaintiff Trial Success Overall

Number

Winning Plaintiffs

Plaintiff Win Rate

Mean Plaintiff Award

All Trials

117

29

25%

525,070

Jury Trials

104

28

27%

493,080

Bench Trials

13

1

8%

1,420,797

 

Table 2: Trials with Plaintiff Represented by Counsel

Number

Winning Plaintiffs

Plaintiff Win Rate

Mean Plaintiff Award

All Trials

112

29

26%

525,070

Jury Trials

102

28

27%

493,080

Bench Trials

10

1

10%

1,420,797

 

Table 3: Jury Trials with Plaintiff Represented by Counsel

Number

Winning Plaintiffs

Plaintiff Win Rate

Mean Plaintiff Award

Race / National Origin

64

17

27%

244,347

   African American

31

5

16%

347,482

   Asian American

12

7

58%

233,946

   Latino

11

2

18%

55,887

   White

4

2

50%

300,000

   Other National    Origin

6

1

17%

67,088

Gender

27

6

22%

229,884

   Female

22

6

27%

229,884

   Male

5

0

0%

0

 

 

Table 4: Nature of Claim

Number

Winning Plaintiffs

Plaintiff Win Rate

Mean Plaintiff Award

Age

14

3

21%

1,917,872

Disability

7

2

29%

1,458,667

FMLA

2

1

50%

11,145

Religion

2

0

0%

0

 

Table 5: District Court

Number

Winning Plaintiffs

Plaintiff Win Rate

Mean Plaintiff Award

Atlanta (N.D. Ga.)

14

3

21%

144,647

Chicago (N.D. Ill.)

17

2

12%

53,241

Dallas (N.D. Tx.)

11

1

9%

11,145

New Orleans

(E.D. La.)

5

0

0%

0

New York (S.D.N.Y.)

31

13

42%

208,413

Philadelphia

 

(E.D. Pa.)

15

5

33%

1,308,397

San Francisco (N.D. Cal.)

9

4

44%

1,000,829

 

 


* Professor of Law, Wake Forest University School of Law.  [email protected].  Many thanks to Brian Dempsey and Alanna Zuchelli for organizing a stellar Symposium on the twentieth anniversary of the Civil Rights Act of 1991.  I also thank my research assistant, Naomi Huntington, who provided invaluable assistance, and Mike Selmi, who gave many helpful comments.

[1]. Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1071 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 2, 29, and 42 U.S.C.).

[2]. See Roger Clegg, Introduction: A Brief Legislative History of the Civil Rights Act of 1991, 54 La. L. Rev. 1459, 1471 (1994) (describing the Act from the plaintiff’s perspective as “a dramatic improvement on the law as it stood after the Supreme Court’s decisions in 1989”); Kevin M. Clermont & Stewart J. Schwab, Employment Discrimination Plaintiffs in Federal Court: From Bad to Worse?, 3 Harv. L. & Pol’y Rev. 103, 116 (2009) (“[T]he Civil Rights Act of 1991 made Title VII law more favorable to plaintiffs . . . .”); Laura Beth Nielsen & Robert L. Nelson, Rights Realized?  An Empirical Analysis of Employment Discrimination Litigation as a Claiming System, 2005 Wis. L. Rev. 663, 674 (describing the series of legislative enactments of which the Act was part as “a significant expansion of employee rights in the workplace”).  Compare Editorial, Thumbing His Nose at Congress; Mr. Bush Signs—and Undermines—the Rights Bill, N.Y. Times, Nov. 22, 1991, at A30 (applauding the Act for ensuring “more justice in the workplace”), with Editorial, A Lawyers Employment Act, Bos. Herald, Dec. 28, 1991, at 14 (predicting that the Act “would start an avalanche of senseless litigation, that business would surrender to unreasonable demands and establish hiring quotas to buy peace”).  The Act, of course, was not a complete victory for the plaintiffs; both sides made compromises.  See Robert Belton, The Unfinished Agenda of the Civil Rights Act of 1991, 45 Rutgers L. Rev. 921, 924 (1993) (“The 1991 Act . . . reflects a series of compromises by liberal and conservative legislators . . . .”).

[3]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 103.

[4]. See infra Part I.C.1.

[5]. See infra Part I.C.3.

[6]. See infra Part I.C.5.  It is far from clear that even high-dollar class action settlements—think Texaco’s $176 million settlement of its race case—have had any measurable impact on the workplace.  These settlements had little, if any, impact on shareholder value or the company’s capitalization and produced “little to no substantive change within the corporations.”  See Michael Selmi, The Price of Discrimination: The Nature of Class Action Employment Discrimination Litigation and Its Effects, 81 Tex. L. Rev. 1249, 1250, 1260–63, 1266–68 (2003) (examining the effects of employment discrimination class actions against Texaco, Home Depot, and Denny’s).  The class actions studied included substantial settlements in the eight- to nine-figure range.  Id. at 1249.  The average plaintiff recovery was $10,000 per class member.  Id. at 1250.

[7]. See infra Part I.A.2.

[8]. See infra Part I.C.3.

[9]. 42 U.S.C. § 1981a(c)(1) (2006).

[10]. See infra Part I.C.3.

[11]. See infra Part I.A.2.

[12]. See infra Part I.C.2.

[13]. See infra Part I.C.3.

[14]. See infra notes 147–50 and accompanying text.

[15]. See infra notes 165–66 and accompanying text; infra Table 2.

[16]. A few studies have examined the issue.  See, e.g., Laura Beth Nielsen et al., Am. Bar Found., Contesting Workplace Discrimination in Court: Characteristics and Outcomes of Federal Employment Discrimination Litigation 1987–2003 (2008), http://www.americanbarfoundation.org/uploads
/cms/documents/nielsen_abf_edl_report_08_final.pdf; David Benjamin Oppenheimer, Verdicts Matter: An Empirical Study of California Employment Discrimination and Wrongful Discharge Jury Verdicts Reveals Low Success Rates for Women and Minorities, 37 U.C. Davis L. Rev. 511 (2003); Laura Beth Nielsen et al., Uncertain Justice: Litigating Claims of Employment Discrimination in the Contemporary United States (Am. Bar Found., Research Paper No. 08-04, 2008), available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm
?abstract_id=1093313.

[17]. See infra Part III.A (discussing the other studies).  This is the first Study to examine Latinos separately.

[18]. See infra Part III.B.2 (discussing jury bias).

[19]. See infra Part III.B.2.

[20]. See infra Parts I.C.1, I.C.3., I.C.5.

[21]. See infra Part III.B.2.

[22]. See infra notes 193–94 and accompanying text.

[23]. See infra Part III.B.1.

[24]. See infra notes 208–12 and accompanying text.

[25]. See Clegg, supra note 2, at 1464–65; Peter M. Leibold et al., Civil Rights Act of 1991: Race to the Finish—Civil Rights, Quotas, and Disparate Impact in 1991, 45 Rutgers L. Rev. 1043, 1059 (1993).

[26]. See Clegg, supra note 2, at 1469–70.

[27]. See supra note 2.

[28]. See Patterson v. McLean Credit Union, 491 U.S. 164 (1989), superseded by statute, Civil Rights Act of 1991, Pub. L. No. 102-166, 105 Stat. 1074, as recognized in CBOCS W., Inc. v. Humphries, 553 U.S. 442, 442 (2008); Lorance v. AT&T Techs., Inc., 490 U.S. 900 (1989), superseded by statute, 105 Stat. at 1074, as recognized in Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 251 (1994); Martin v. Wilks, 490 U.S. 755 (1989), superseded by statute, 105 Stat. at 1074, as recognized in Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 251; Wards Cove Packing Co. v. Atonio, 490 U.S. 642 (1989), superseded by statute, 105 Stat. at 1074, as recognized in Raytheon Co. v. Hernandez, 540 U.S. 44, 52–53 (2003); Price Waterhouse v. Hopkins, 490 U.S. 228 (1989), superseded by statute, 105 Stat. at 1074, as recognized in Landgraf, 511 U.S. at 251.  Perhaps the most notable case was Wards Cove, which greatly limited the ability of plaintiffs to prove a disparate impact claim.  See Leibold et al., supra note 25, at 1056–58.  The Act’s attempt to restrict Wards Cove led to the Act’s “quota bill” label.  Id. at 1058 n.72.

[29]. The Act provides for compensatory and punitive damages in disparate treatment cases, but not disparate impact claims.  42 U.S.C. § 1981a(a)(1) (2006).  The amounts are capped according to the number of employees, ranging from $50,000 for employers with one-hundred employees or fewer to $300,000 for employers with more than five-hundred employees.  Id. § 1981a(b)(3).  The caps do not apply to race discrimination claims filed under § 1981.  Punitive damages were available for the first time—so long as the suit is not against a government, government agency, or political subdivision—if the defendant acted with malice or reckless indifference.  See id. § 1981a(b)(1).  The Act also encourages the use of alternative dispute resolution.  See Pat K. Chew, Arbitral and Judicial Proceedings: Indistinguishable Justice or Justice Denied?, 46 Wake Forest L. Rev. 185 (2011).

[30]. 42 U.S.C. § 1981a(c)(1) (“If a complaining party seeks compensatory or punitive damages under this section . . . any party may demand a trial by jury . . . .”).

[31]. See, e.g., Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 115–16.

[32]. By employment discrimination cases, I mean cases coded as “442” by the Administrative Office of the United States Courts.  See id. at 104 n.4.  Employment discrimination claims can be filed under six statutes.  See id.  Yet it is Title VII that continues to dominate claims of discrimination in the workplace.  Id. at 117 (“Title VII cases constitute the bulk of [these] cases, nearly seventy percent.”).

[33]. More precisely, the number of filings increased 184% from 1991 to 1997.  Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 12; cf. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 115–17 (finding that case terminations rose from 8303 in 1991 to 23,722 in 1998, an increase of 186%, and fell to 18,859 in 2005, a decrease of 20.5%).

[34]. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 103.

[35]. Peter Siegelman & John J. Donohue III, Studying the Iceberg from Its Tip: A Comparison of Published and Unpublished Employment Discrimination Cases, 24 Law & Soc’y Rev. 1133, 1163 (1990); accord id. (quoting the Equal Employment Advisory Council as complaining in 1990 of the “tremendous increase” in employment discrimination suits).

[36]. John J. Donohue III & Peter Siegelman, The Changing Nature of Employment Discrimination Litigation, 43 Stan. L. Rev. 983, 989 tbl.2 (1991).  Similarly, the number of cases terminated increased from 423 in 1971 to 5289 in 1979.  Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 115 n.36.

[37]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 115 & n.36, 116.

[38]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 12; cf. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 117–19 (reporting a drop in terminations starting in 1999).

[39]. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 115.

[40]. Specifically, the filings declined from a high of 23,796 in 1997 to 14,353 in 2006.  Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 12; cf. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 117 (reporting a decline of 37% for federal employment discrimination case terminations between 1999 and 2007).

[41]. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 104.

[42]. Id.

[43]. See id. at 118 n.45 (examining EEOC filings between 1997 and 2007).

[44]. See U.S. EEOC, Charge Statistics FY 1997 Through FY 2010, U.S. EEOC, http://www.eeoc.gov/eeoc/statistics/enforcement/charges.cfm (last visited Mar. 28, 2011) (showing 80,680 charges filed in 1997; 80,840 in 2001; 95,402 in 2008; and 93,277 in 2009).

[45]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 118–19; Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 31–32.

[46]. In 1990, plaintiffs filed 8272 employment discrimination suits, compared to 14,036 in 2009.  See Admin. Office of the U.S. Courts, Judicial Business of the United States Courts 145 (2009), http://www.uscourts.gov
/Statistics/JudicialBusiness/JudicialBusiness.aspx?doc=/uscourts/Statistics
/JudicialBusiness/2009/appendices/C02ASep09.pdf (reporting the number of suits filed in 2009); Marika F.X. Litras, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Civil Rights Complaints in U.S. District Courts, 2000, at 1 (2002), http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov
/content/pub/pdf/crcus00.pdf (reporting the number of suits filed in 1990).

[47]. 42 U.S.C. § 12101 (2006).

[48]. Family and Medical Leave Act of 1993, Pub. L. No. 103-3, 107 Stat. 6 (codified as amended in scattered sections of 2, 5, and 29 U.S.C.).

[49]. 509 U.S. 502, 519–20 (1993) (holding that the plaintiff still bears the burden of persuasion on the element of intent, even if the defendant’s stated reason for the adverse employment action is found by the fact finder to be false).

[50]. See Ruth Colker, The Disability Pendulum: The First Decade of the Americans with Disabilities Act 201–12 (2005) (asserting that the Supreme Court has “dissed” Congress with its decisions to restrict the ADA).

[51]. Ricci v. DeStefano, 129 S. Ct. 2658, 2681 (2009) (holding that an employer is not entitled to disregard promotional tests for hiring purposes “solely based on the racial disparity in the results”).

[52]. Pub. L. No. 111-2, 123 Stat. 5; cf. Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., 550 U.S. 618, 641–42 (2007) (rejecting the argument that in a disparate pay claim under Title VII the statute of limitations restarts with each inadequate paycheck), superseded by statute, 123 Stat. at 5.

[53]. See Kimel v. Fla. Bd. of Regents, 528 U.S. 62, 91 (2000) (holding that “Congress did not validly abrogate the States’ sovereign immunity to suits by private individuals” in the ADEA).

[54]. Bd. of Trs. of the Univ. of Ala. v. Garrett, 531 U.S. 356, 374 (2001) (holding that “in order to authorize private individuals to recover money damages against the States, there must be a pattern of discrimination by the States which violates the Fourteenth Amendment, and the remedy imposed by Congress must be congruent and proportional to the targeted violation”).

[55]. Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. 1937, 1953 (2009) (clarifying that Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly applies to all cases); Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 545–46, 560–63 (2007) (retiring the Conley v. Gibson “no set of facts” language and adopting a “plausibility” requirement).

[56]. See Patricia W. Hatamayar, The Tao of Pleading: Do Twombly and Iqbal Matter Empirically?, 59 Am. Univ. L. Rev. 553, 556 (2010) (finding a significant increase in grants of motions to dismiss in employment discrimination cases after Iqbal); Joseph A. Seiner, After Iqbal, 45 Wake Forest L. Rev. 179, 187 & nn.70–71 (2009) (finding a slight increase in dismissal rates in employment discrimination opinions referencing Twombly).

[57]. Other nonlegal factors arguably affect the filings of employment discrimination cases as well.  See, e.g., John J. Donohue III & Peter Siegelman, The Evolution of Employment Discrimination Law in the 1990s: A Preliminary Empirical Investigation, in Handbook of Employment Discrimination Research: Rights and Realities 261, 273–78 (Laura Beth Nielsen & Robert L. Nelson eds., 2005) (examining the relationship between plaintiff win rates and the economy after the 1991 Act).  But see Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 120 (finding little recent evidence of the effect of unemployment rates on federal filings).

[58]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 46; see also Vivian Berger et al., Summary Judgment Benchmarks for Settling Employment Discrimination Lawsuits, 23 Hofstra Lab. & Emp. L.J. 45, 58 & n.53 (2005) (finding that 14.5% of all employment discrimination cases in two district courts in New York were dismissed via summary judgment); Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 122–23 (finding that between 1979 and 2006 the nontrial disposition rate for employment discrimination cases—mostly as a result of pretrial motions—was around 20%, which was about the same rate found for other types of cases); Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 9, 17 (finding a 19% summary judgment rate in 1672 cases filed between 1988 and 2003).

[59]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 2, 29 (finding, in an analysis of  1788 cases filed from 1987 to 2003, an average of 18% of cases lost on a motion to dismiss and 16% on a motion for summary judgment).

[60]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 123 display 9.

[61]. Id. at 128 (“Over the period of 1979–2006 in federal court, employment discrimination plaintiffs have won 3.59% of pretrial adjudications, while other plaintiffs have won 21.05% of pretrial adjudications.”); see also id. at 128 display 14 (demonstrating the disparity in pretrial adjudications from 1979 to 2006).

[62]. Specifically, the dismissal rate increased to about 20% in 2003, and the summary judgment rate decreased to about 10% in 2003.  See Nielson et al., supra note 16, at 46.

[63]. Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544 (2007).

[64]. Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. 1937 (2009).

[65]. Only in 2009 was it clear that the enhanced pleading obligations applied not just to complex cases, but to all civil cases, including employment discrimination litigation.  See id. at 1953.  Some commentators have already found an increase in dismissal rates since the implementation of the heightened pleading standards.  See supra note 56.  Others argue, however, that the standard in Iqbal is not significantly different from prior standards.  See Robert G. Bone, Twombly, Pleading Rules, and the Regulation of Court Access, 94 Iowa L. Rev. 873, 878 (2009) (arguing that Twombly simply asks that plaintiffs “describe a state of affairs that differs significantly from a baseline of normality and supports a probability of wrongdoing greater than the background probability for situations of the same general type”); Adam N. Steinman, The Pleading Problem, 62 Stan. L. Rev. 1293, 1316, 1319 (2010) (concluding that “the plausibility aspect of Twombly and Iqbal makes the pleading standard more forgiving, not less,” as only conclusory claims must be plausible, while nonconclusory claims “by definition [exceed] the threshold of plausibly suggesting an entitlement to relief”).  The evidence in this respect is obviously preliminary given the recent nature of these cases.

[66]. Minna J. Kotkin, Outing Outcomes: An Empirical Study of Confidential Employment Discrimination Settlements, 64 Wash. & Lee L. Rev. 111, 149 (2007) (“Median settlements are more than double those of cases resolved before a motion is made.”); accord Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 15–17 (reporting that settlement amounts increase the longer the case stays alive); see infra Part I.C.5. (analyzing settlements and Professor Kotkin’s article in more detail).

[67]. See Lorillard v. Pons, 434 U.S. 575, 583–85 (1978) (recognizing the right to jury trial under the ADEA); George Rutherglen, From Race to Age: The Expanding Scope of Employment Discrimination Law, 24 J. Legal Stud. 491, 496 (1995) (noting that jury trials “have long been available for claims of racial discrimination under section 1981”).

[68]. 42 U.S.C. § 1981a(c)(1) (2006).

[69]. Id. § 1981a(a)(1).

[70]. See, e.g., Landgraf v. USI Film Prods., 511 U.S. 244, 249–50, 286 (1994) (refusing to extend the jury-trial right to sex discrimination cases filed before the 1991 Act).

[71]. Tracey Kyckelhahn & Thomas H. Cohen, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Civil Rights Complaints in U.S. District Courts, 1990–2006, at 6 tbl.5 (2008), http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/pdf/crcusdc06.pdf (reporting a trial rate of 8.7% in 1990 and 3.2% in 2006); Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 123 display 9 (showing a trial rate of 18.2% in 1979 and 2.8% in 2006); cf. Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 694 tbl.2.B (finding a trial rate of 8.7% in 1990 and 3.8% in 2001).

[72]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 123 display 9 (showing that the trial rate for all other civil cases dropped from 6.2% in 1979 to 1.0% in 2006).  Similarly, employment cases have higher trial rates as compared to other types of civil rights claims, but not by much.  See Kyckelhahn & Cohen, supra note 71, at 6 tbl.5.

[73]. Specifically, the number of jury trials increased from 254 in 1990 to 633 in 2001.  Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 698.  But see Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 125 display 12 (demonstrating a peak of 1020 jury trials in 1997, which dipped to 590 jury trials in 2005).

[74]. Specifically, the number of bench trials decreased from 410 in 1990 to 111 in 2001.  Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 698; cf. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 125 display 11 (showing a peak of 1034 bench trials in 1984, which fell to 71 in 2005).

[75]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 123 display 9.

[76]. See id. at 125 display 11.

[77]. See id.

[78]. See id. at 126 display 13.

[79]. See id.

[80]. Theodore Eisenberg, Litigation Models and Trial Outcomes in Civil Rights and Prisoner Cases, 77 Geo. L.J. 1567, 1578 (1989); cf. Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 129 display 15 (noting win rates in 1985 of nearly 25% for employment discrimination plaintiffs and nearly 40% for other civil plaintiffs).  Recently, the gap in win rates between employment cases and other cases has decreased significantly.  See id. (showing in 2006 a win rate in employment discrimination cases of 34.6% compared to a win rate in other cases of 40.7%).

[81]. Marika F.X. Litras, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Civil Rights Complaints in U.S. District Courts, 1990–98, at 9 tbl.9 (2000) (showing that in 1990 the win rate was 23.8%).

[82]. Id.

[83]. Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 697 tbl.3.A.  The overall win rate for employment discrimination cases between 2000 and 2006 was 36.7%.  Kyckelhahn & Cohen, supra note 71, at 7 tbl.7.

[84]. Specifically, nonemployment plaintiffs won 40.7% of their cases in 2006, compared to 34.6% for employment plaintiffs.  Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 129 display 15.  Other types of plaintiffs have similar win rates before both judges and juries.  See id. at 130 display 16.  Employment discrimination plaintiffs have lower win rates than do other plaintiffs when comparing judge and jury trials separately.  See id.

[85]. See Eisenberg, supra note 80, at 1591 tbl.II; cf. id. (finding jury-trial win rates for plaintiffs to be higher in all regions of the United States).

[86]. In 1990 the jury win rate was 40.9% and was relatively the same in 2001, at 40.6%.  Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 699 tbl.4.A.

[87]. See id.; see also Eisenberg, supra note 80, at 1591 tbl.II (finding a plaintiff bench-trial win rate of 19% between 1978 and 1985).

[88]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 130 display 16 (showing a slight decline in bench-trial win rates through 2005, starting in 2001).

[89]. See id. at 130–31 (“Certain groups of plaintiffs might do far worse before judges or juries, but the reason most often lies in prevailing misperceptions about judges or juries that prompt lawyers to put before each fact finder different kinds of cases.”); Kevin M. Clermont & Stewart J. Schwab, How Employment Discrimination Plaintiffs Fare in Federal Court, 1 J. Empirical Legal Stud. 429, 443 (2004) (exploring why judges and juries decide different types of employment discrimination cases); Kevin M. Clermont & Theodore Eisenberg, Litigation Realities, 88 Cornell L. Rev. 119, 138–40 (2002) (defining and exploring selection effect as it relates to all types of cases and concluding that differences in jury and judge outcomes in most cases are due to case-selection effects).

[90]. See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 558–60 (discussing the way that judicial bias can affect employment discrimination case outcomes); Michael Selmi, Why Are Employment Discrimination Cases So Hard To Win?, 61 La. L. Rev. 555, 561 (2001) (“The primary reason discrimination cases are so hard to prove has to do with the bias courts bring to their analyses.”).

[91]. See supra note 29 and accompanying text.

[92]. See Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 697 tbl.3.B.

[93]. Id.; cf. Litras, supra note 81, at 9 tbl.9 (finding in employment discrimination cases a median award of $450,000 in 1990 and $137,000 in 1998).  Another study for the years 1979 to 2000 found an increase over time.  See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 89, at 458 app. (relying on data from the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts for the years 1979 to 2000 to determine that the mean award before 1992 was $626,358 and the mean award after 1991 was $889,182).

[94]. See Donohue & Siegelman, supra note 57, at 278 n.11 (finding coding errors with award amounts); Theodore Eisenberg & Margo Schlanger, The Reliability of the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts Database: An Initial Empirical Analysis, 78 Notre Dame L. Rev. 1455, 1489–90 (2003) (noting the unreliability of the recording of damage awards).

[95]. See infra notes 143–46 and accompanying text (discussing the reasons for differences in jury award amounts, unrelated to the underlying merits claims).

[96]. See Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 700 tbl.4.B.

[97]. See id.  A study of awards in all employment discrimination trials from 2000 to 2006 found a median of $158,460.  See Kyckelhahn & Cohen, supra note 71, at 7 tbl.7.

[98]. See Kyckelhahn & Cohen, supra note 71, at 7 tbl.7 (finding that the median award from 2000 to 2006 for bench trials was $71,500, compared to $146,125 for jury trials); Litras, supra note 81, at 8 tbl.8 (showing higher jury awards than bench-trial awards from 1990 to 1998).

[99]. See Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, 693–95.

[100]. See Litras, supra note 81, at 6; Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 694 tbl.2.A.

[101]. See Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 694 tbl.2.A.

[102]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 46 (“Settlements increased steadily between 1987 and 2000, before decreasing somewhat sharply between 2001–03.”).

[103]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 122.

[104]. See id. at 122–23.

[105]. See id.

[106]. See supra note 66 and accompanying text.

[107]. Professor Kotkin was able to compare settlement amounts with claimed lost wages to ascertain how successful plaintiffs were in their settlements.  See Kotkin, supra note 66, at 139.  By using this approach, she was able to demonstrate that the mean settlement for most types of claims was at least 50% of the plaintiffs’ lost wages.  See id. at 154 fig.18.

[108]. Looking at 455 settlements in employment discrimination cases, Professor Kotkin found the mean settlement to be $54,651 and the median to be about $30,000.  Id. at 144.  According to an analysis of seventy-five cases filed between 1987 and 2001, the median settlement was $30,000, and the seventy-fifth percentile was $92,458.  Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 17.  Amounts rose for median awards of late settlements, which only occurred in fourteen cases.  See id. (finding that in late settlements, meaning that the plaintiff survived a motion for summary judgment, “the median award rises to $40,000 and the 75th percentile to $110,000”).

[109]. See supra note 29 and accompanying text.

[110]. See supra Part I.A.2.

[111]. See supra notes 39, 44 and accompanying text.

[112]. See supra Part I.C.1.

[113]. See supra Part I.C.1.

[114]. See supra Part I.C.2.

[115]. See supra Part I.C.3.

[116]. See supra Part I.C.3.

[117]. See supra Part I.C.4.

[118]. See supra Part I.C.5.

[119]. See supra notes 71–72 and accompanying text.

[120]. See supra Part I.C.3.

[121]. A few studies have examined the issue.  See, e.g., sources cited supra note 16.

[122]. See, e.g., Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 117 n.40 (noting this limit on their data); Donohue & Siegelman, supra note 57 (analyzing employment discrimination litigation as a whole); Nielsen & Nelson, supra note 2, at 693–97 (examining various procedural outcomes for all employment discrimination cases).

[123]. That is, the district courts that participated in PACER (Public Access to Court Electronic Records), which has a Case Management/Electronic Case Filing system.  See Wendy Parker, Lessons in Losing: Race Discrimination in Employment, 81 Notre Dame L. Rev. 889, 904 nn.68–69 (2006) (describing PACER and its case-search method).

[124]. Others have used these seven districts in other empirical research on employment discrimination cases.  These seven districts in the past have included approximately 20% of all filings, but that number may have declined with the changes in New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina.  See Siegelman & Donohue, supra note 35, at 1143 tbl.1; Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 9.

[125]. See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 104 n.4.  Starting in 2005, the Administrative Office of the U.S. Court gave disability claims a different case code, see id., but I found disability claims still coded as 442.

[126]. Disposition time for cases that go to trial typically exceeds eighteen months.  See Clermont & Eisenberg, supra note 89, at 131.

[127]. For example, plaintiffs who win at trial are reversed on appeal about 42% of the time, while defendants who win trials are reversed on appeal only about 7% of the time.  See Kevin M. Clermont et al., How Employment-Discrimination Plaintiffs Fare in the Federal Courts of Appeals, 7 Emp. Rts. & Emp. Pol’y J. 547, 552 (2003); see also Parker, supra note 123, at 932 n.200 (summarizing the studies demonstrating the strong likelihood that employment discrimination plaintiffs who win at the trial-court level lose on appeal).

[128]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 36; Parker, supra note 123, at 915–16.

[129]. Professor Kotkin was able to overcome this limitation in her study of settlements because she had access to back-pay information for over half of her data set.  See Kotkin, supra note 66, at 137, 151.  Finding that settlements were closely linked to the amount of back pay, with some discounts in the settlement amount, she concluded that settlements afford most plaintiffs a “reasonable degree” of success.  See id. at 117.  Few settlements were so low as to demonstrate that the settlements were of nuisance value, and few settlements were so high as to reflect a windfall to the plaintiff.  See id.

[130]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 10 & n.2.

[131]. See Parker, supra note 123, at 921–26 (examining the motivation to settle employment discrimination cases, without finding any differences for different types of employment discrimination suits); Selmi, supra note 90, at 569–71 (analyzing the incentives for lawyers to file employment discrimination cases, which apply equally to all types of employment discrimination claims).

[132]. See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 553–56 (arguing that the low win rates for employment discrimination cases cannot be explained by defendants being repeat players, defendants having more at stake, or defendants having more resources because sexual harassment claims—claims in which the most is at stake—have higher win rates than do other types of employment discrimination claims); Selmi, supra note 90, at 569 (“[T]here is very little reason to believe that employment discrimination cases are any less meritorious as a class than other types of civil claims.”).

[133]. A first question is whether certain types of claims are more likely to make it to trial than other types of claims.  I did not gather information on all the employment discrimination claims filed in the seven districts in the three years studied to determine the answer to that question.  Making a rough comparison between what others have found for 2002 filings for the seven districts and the years studied here, 2005–2007, it appears that race cases are much more likely to reach the jury-trial stage than other types of claims.  About 40% of cases filed in 2002 concerned race discrimination, see Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 42 fig.2, but 63% of the jury trials in this study had race claims, see infra Appendix.  This comparison suggests that race cases are more likely to survive pretrial motions and less likely to settle.  But see Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 20 (“Compared to whites and other people of color, African-American plaintiffs are significantly more likely to have their cases dismissed or lose on all claims at summary judgment and they are less likely to receive any kind of settlement and to prevail at trial, if the case goes that far.”).  Yet, the difference may be due to the greater percentage of race claims filed in the seven districts in 2007 than in 2002.

[134]. Because many plaintiffs went to trial on more than one type of claim, the number of claims exceeds 102.

[135]. See Wendy Parker, Technical Appendix: Juries, Race, and Gender: A Story of Today’s Inequality, Wake Forest Sch. L., http://users.wfu.edu
/parkerwm/juries/ (last visited Mar. 28, 2011).  This Technical Appendix includes all of the data for this Article in Excel format.

[136]. See supra note 86 and accompanying text.

[137]. See infra Appendix.

[138]. Other studies that differentiated claims based on statutes also found a high win rate for FMLA claims.  See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 117 display 6 (showing the highest win rate for FMLA cases); Clermont & Schwab, supra note 89, at 445 tbl.2 (finding a 50% jury-trial win rate for ten FMLA trials between 1998 and 2001).

[139]. See infra Appendix.

[140]. See infra Appendix.  Some of the damage awards were reduced because of statutory caps.  See supra note 29 (discussing the statutory caps).

[141]. See infra Appendix.

[142]. See infra Appendix.

[143]. This would increase the amount of back pay and front pay—both significant categories of relief.

[144]. See supra note 29 (discussing the statutory caps).

[145]. See Kotkin, supra note 66, at 137.

[146]. See 29 U.S.C. § 626(b) (2006) (providing liquidated damages in the amount of back pay for willful age discrimination).

[147]. Parker, supra note 135.

[148]. Id.

[149]. Id.

[150]. Id.

[151]. Unfortunately, the data set was too small to do any meaningful analysis of the intersectionality of plaintiffs’ status.

[152]. Others have found that sexual harassment claims fare much better than sexual discrimination claims, see, e.g., Berger et al., supra note 58, at 60; Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 535, but in this Study most cases alleging sex discrimination included both types of claims.  Thus, a comparison of sex discrimination and sexual harassment outcomes was not possible here.

[153]. See infra Appendix.

[154]. See infra Appendix.

[155]. See infra Appendix.

[156]. See infra Appendix.

[157]. See infra Appendix.

[158]. Administrative Office data, for example, only provides statutory breakdowns of the 442 category of cases.  See Clermont & Schwab, supra note 2, at 104 n.4.

[159]. See e.g., Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 20.

[160]. See supra Table 2.  I found no study discussing outcomes for Latinos claiming employment discrimination.

[161]. See, e.g., Helen Boritch, Gender and Criminal Court Outcomes: An Historical Analysis, 30 Criminology 293 (1992) (analyzing gender differences in criminal court outcomes from 1871 to 1920); Justin D. Levinson & Danielle Young, Different Shades of Bias: Skin Tone, Implicit Racial Bias, and Judgments of Ambiguous Evidence, 112 W. Va. L. Rev. 307 (2010) (examining how racism in jurors can be triggered).

[162]. See sources cited supra note 122.

[163]. See sources cited supra note 16.

[164]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 9.

[165]. Id. at 20.

[166]. Id.  Some of the differences were due to lack of legal representation.  See id. at 21–22, 26.

[167]. See id. at 20–21.

[168]. See id. at 28; supra notes 151–57 and accompanying text (finding that women fare better than men when claiming sex discrimination and that whites fare better than African Americans and Latinos when claiming race discrimination).

[169]. See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 515–16, 532–35 (using data from California’s major jury verdict reporters).  Other studies have looked at the treatment of race discrimination cases but have not differentiated between the type of race claim.  See, e.g., Vicki Schultz & Stephen Petterson, Race, Gender, Work, and Choice: An Empirical Study of the Lack of Interest Defense in Title VII Cases Challenging Job Segregation, 59 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1073 (1992) (examining the lack-of-interest defense in race employment discrimination cases); Siegelman & Donohue, supra note 35, at 1152 tbl.4 (identifying differences in race employment discrimination cases at some data points in their comparison of published opinions with unpublished opinions).

[170]. See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 542 (finding a race case win rate of 36%, but an overall win rate of 53%).

[171]. See id. at 543 tbl.6 (reporting a win rate of 100% for whites suing for race discrimination, compared to a win rate of 36% for nonwhites suing for race discrimination); supra Table 2 (showing that white plaintiffs outperformed every other race except Asian Americans).

[172]. See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 535 (finding a 68% win rate for sexual harassment cases, compared to a win rate in other discrimination cases of 41%); id. at 539 (finding an even higher win rate for men claiming sexual harassment, 90%, although the amounts awarded were significantly less).  For an analysis of why harassment claims have higher win rates, see id. at 536–38.

[173]. See infra Appendix.  By contrast, in the Oppenheimer study, eight of ten sexual harassment claims by men involved same-sex harassment, and in each of those cases the same-sex plaintiff won.  See Oppenheimer, supra note 16, at 539.

[174]. Id. at 549, 561.

[175]. Id. at 566.

[176]. See Nielsen et al., supra note 16, at 31 & fig.5.3, 32 & fig.5.4 (finding that 65% of sexual harassment cases settle, compared to an approximate 45% settlement rate for race cases); see also Parker, supra note 123, at 930 tbls.3 & 4 (finding age cases as likely to settle as race cases and less likely than gender cases in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, while also finding that age cases were less likely to settle than both race and gender cases in the Northern District of Texas); Elizabeth M. Schneider, The Dangers of Summary Judgment: Gender and Federal Civil Litigation, 59 Rutgers L. Rev. 705, 762 (2007) (finding in an analysis of summary judgment motions that “the gender of the plaintiff had no statistically significant effect on the outcome of defendants’ summary judgment-type motions”).

[177]. Specifically, the mean settlement for all claims was $54,651, and the median was $30,000.  Kotkin, supra note 66, at 144.  Race cases, on the other hand, had a median recovery of about $20,000.  Id. at 157; see also id. at 148 fig.12 (comparing settlement amounts by type of claim).  Moreover, race claims were overrepresented in the very low settlements below $5000, perhaps because of the number of pro se race cases.  See id. at 145–46 (noting “that in six of the twenty-three race cases, plaintiff was pro se or had appointed counsel”).  Professor Kotkin has noted that the difference may be due to differences in back-pay amounts.  See id. at 152.

[178]. Id. at 146, 148.

[179]. While the median settlement for all race cases was $20,000, id. at 157, race cases with a white plaintiff had a median settlement amount of $50,000.  Id. at 148.

[180]. Nor is it clear whether such data is available.

[181]. Specifically, whites were 57% of the qualified jury wheel in the Foley Square Division, compared to 14% African Americans and 20% Latino.  See Jeffrey Fagan et al., Measuring a Fair Cross-Section of Jury Composition: A Case Study of the Southern District of New York 19 tbl.X (Mar. 14, 2008) (unpublished manuscript), available at http://www.allacademic.com/one/mpsa
/mpsa08/index.php (go to “Search Papers” tab, enter “Measuring a Fair Cross-Section of Jury Composition” into the search field, select “Title” under the “Search By” field, and select “Search”).

[182]. A study of jury trials in the First Municipal District of the Circuit Court of Cook County, Illinois (the county in which Chicago is located) found that whites constituted 64% of juries, while African Americans and Latinos were 26% and 8%, respectively.  Shari Seidman Diamond et al., Achieving Diversity on the Jury: Jury Size and the Peremptory Challenge, 6 J. Empirical Legal Stud. 425, 438 tbl.2 (2009).

[183]. For example, African Americans in the Foley Square division are underrepresented by 4% compared to their voting age population and Latinos are underrepresented by 7%.  Fagan et al., supra note 181, at 19–20.

[184]. Id. at 28.

[185]. See Diamond et al., supra note 182, at 442 tbl.6, 444 tbl.7.  The study did not specify how this translated into the number of all-white juries.

[186]. See id. at 428–29, 445.

[187]. Fed. R. Civ. P. 48(b) (“Unless the parties stipulate otherwise, the verdict must be unanimous and must be returned by a jury of at least 6 members.”).

[188]. See Nancy J. King, Postconviction Review of Jury Discrimination: Measuring the Effects of Juror Race on Jury Decisions, 92 Mich. L. Rev. 63, 63 n.3 (1993) (citing various magazines and newspapers reporting on jury composition); Samuel R. Sommers & Pheobe C. Ellsworth, How Much Do We Really Know About Race and Juries?  A Review of Social Science Theory and Research, 78 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 997, 1022 (2003) (noting that media reports about trials usually include the racial composition of the jury).

[189]. See J.E.B. v. Alabama, 511 U.S. 127, 129 (1994) (holding that a peremptory challenge based on gender violates the Equal Protection Clause); Batson v. Kentucky, 476 U.S. 79, 86–87, 100 (1986) (holding that a peremptory challenge based on race violates the Equal Protection Clause); Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188, at 1022 (“Supreme Court rulings . . . suggest a tacit acceptance of the premise that racial composition can affect the verdict a jury reaches.”).

[190]. See Christina L. Boyd et al., Untangling the Causal Effects of Sex on Judging, 54 Am. J. Pol. Sci. 389, 406 (2010) (finding that in sex discrimination claims “the likelihood of a male judge ruling in favor of the plaintiff increases by 12% to 14% when a female” is present on a panel of judges); cf. Jennifer L. Peresie, Female Judges Matter: Gender and Collegial Decisionmaking in the Federal Appellate Courts, 114 Yale L.J. 1759, 1761 (2005) (finding that claimants alleging sexual harassment or sex discrimination were twice as likely to prevail when a female judge sat on a three-judge federal appellate panel).

[191]. See King, supra note 188, at 77–80 (summarizing why jurors might bring individual biases to the jury room); Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188, at 1010–14 (reviewing social psychological research on racism and explaining how this research relates to jurors).

[192]. See King, supra note 188, at 64.

[193]. See Theodore Eisenberg, Death Sentence Rates and County Demographics: An Empirical Study, 90 Cornell L. Rev. 347, 370 (2005) (“[M]inority community skepticism about the justness of the death penalty is a contributing factor to low death sentence rates in black defendant-black victim cases.”); King, supra note 188, at 80–99 (summarizing research demonstrating bias of white jurors against African-American defendants and the bias of African-American jurors for African-American defendants); Kitty Klein & Blanche Creech, Race, Rape, and Bias: Distortion of Prior Odds and Meaning Changes, 3 Basic & Applied Soc. Psychol. 21, 30 (1982) (concluding for criminal trials that jurors were more likely to find the black defendant guilty in a rape case than the white defendant); Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188, at 1006–08 (summarizing the studies demonstrating white juror bias); id. at 1019–21 (reviewing studies on African-American jurors); Samuel R. Sommers, On Racial Diversity and Group Decision Making: Identifying Multiple Effects of Racial Composition on Jury Deliberations, 90 J. Personality & Soc. Psychol. 597, 599–600 (2006) (finding that in mock criminal jury trials whites were more likely to convict the black defendant than the white defendant, unless the evidence made race salient, in which case the conviction rates were about the same); Laura T. Sweeney & Craig Haney, The Influence of Race on Sentencing: A Meta-Analytic Review of Experimental Studies, 10 Behav. Sci. & L. 179, 190 (1992) (finding that jurors are more likely to recommend longer sentences for black defendants).  But see Ronald Mazzella & Alan Feingold, The Effects of Physical Attractiveness, Race, Socioeconomic Status, and Gender of Defendants and Victims on Judgments of Mock Jurors: A Meta-Analysis, 24 J. Applied Soc. Psychol. 1315, 1333 (1994) (finding that a defendant’s race does not consistently influence a juror’s behavior toward the criminal defendant).  Another scholar has taken this research even further, demonstrating that “implicit racial biases affect the way judges and jurors encode, store, and recall relevant case facts.”  Justin D. Levinson, Forgotten Racial Equality: Implicit Bias, Decisionmaking, and Misremembering, 57 Duke L.J. 345, 345 (2007).

[194]. See King, supra note 188, at 84–85 (discussing the results of some of these studies).

[195]. Theodore Eisenberg & Martin T. Wells, Trial Outcomes and Demographics: Is There a Bronx Effect?, 80 Tex. L. Rev. 1839, 1869 (2002) (“Increasing black population percentages do correlate with higher plaintiff win rates in federal urban trials [for employment discrimination claims] but not in state urban trials or federal non-urban trials.”).

[196]. See, e.g., Sandra Benlevy, Venus and Mars in the Jury Deliberation Room: Exploring the Differences That Exist Among Male and Female Jurors During the Deliberation Process, 9 S. Cal. Rev. L. & Women’s Stud. 445, 448–51 (2000); Lucy Fowler, Gender and Jury Deliberations: The Contributions of Social Science, 12 Wm. & Mary J. Women & L. 1, 20–22 (2005).

[197]. See Fowler, supra note 196, at 25.

[198]. See supra notes 152–53 and accompanying text; infra Appendix.

[199]. See supra note 190 and accompanying text.

[200]. See supra notes 193–94 and accompanying text.

[201]. See, e.g., Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188.  Studies do indicate, however, that minority jurors are less likely to be vocal during deliberations.  Id. at 1025.

[202]. See supra Table 2; infra Appendix.

[203]. See Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188, at 1004.

[204]. Id. at 1004–05.

[205]. See id. at 1029.

[206]. Id. at 1014.

[207]. See id.  The authors explain, “In such situations, White perceivers often let their guard down, allowing their behavior to be influenced by anti-Black attitudes and prejudice.”  Id.

[208]. See id. at 1014–16.  But see King, supra note 188, at 100 n.138 (finding that when racial issues are more prominent during a trial, bias is more likely to exist).

[209]. Sommers & Ellsworth, supra note 188, at 1015.

[210]. See id. at 1028.

[211]. Id. at 1030; see also id. at 1028 (“Compared to all-White juries, racially mixed juries tended to deliberate longer, discuss more case facts, and bring up more questions about what was missing from the trial . . . .  Racially mixed juries were also more likely to discuss racial issues . . . .”).

[212]. See id.

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